Target Price Playground
FAST
$51.91
🟢
FAST IV: 25.3% — LOW
(-42.3% vs 30d avg of 43.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $57 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
📋 Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
🎯 Target
48d from today
⚙️ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $51.91 · Δ 1.00
LONG PUT · $49 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $0.77 · Δ -0.24
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target
If FAST hits $57 by Dec 18: the protective put returns +$432 (8.2%) on $5,268 risked, vs +$509 (9.8%) for 100 shares on $5,191. Options give 0.8× capital efficiency.
📅 Expiry
Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (48 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FAST is at $57. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
📊 Projected Return
P&L if FAST hits $57 by Dec 18
+$432
+8.2% on $5,268 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
−$368
Put floors you at $49
Break-even
$52.68
+1.49% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
32%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
75.69 / -1.5 / 5.89
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates
| FAST Price | Today | Nov 16 | Dec 2 | Dec 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $42 (-20%) | -$387 | -$384 | -$378 | -$368 |
| $44 (-15%) | -$359 | -$369 | -$374 | -$368 |
| $47 (-10%) | -$293 | -$317 | -$345 | -$368 |
| $49 (-5%) | -$173 | -$204 | -$245 | -$337 |
| $51 (-2%) | -$75 | -$104 | -$140 | -$181 |
| $52 (0%) ← spot | +$0 | -$26 | -$55 | -$77 |
| $53 (+2%) | +$82 | +$60 | +$38 | +$27 |
| $55 (+5%) | +$215 | +$199 | +$186 | +$183 |
| $57 (+10%) ← target | +$444 | +$436 | +$432 | +$432 |
| $60 (+15%) | +$706 | +$703 | +$702 | +$702 |
| $62 (+20%) | +$962 | +$961 | +$961 | +$961 |
Uses FAST's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.