Target Price Playground
FAST
$51.91
🟢
FAST IV: 25.3% — LOW
(-42.3% vs 30d avg of 43.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $60 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
📋 Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
🎯 Target
48d from today
⚙️ Legs
LONG CALL · $52 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $2.14 · Δ 0.54
LONG PUT · $52 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $1.92 · Δ -0.46
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target
If FAST hits $60 by Dec 18: the long straddle returns +$394 (96.8%) on $406 risked, vs +$809 (15.6%) for 100 shares on $5,191. Options give 6.2× capital efficiency.
📅 Expiry
Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (48 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FAST is at $60. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
📊 Projected Return
P&L if FAST hits $60 by Dec 18
+$394
+96.8% on $406 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
−$406
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$47.94
-7.66% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
11%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
7.31 / -4.22 / 14.96
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates
| FAST Price | Today | Nov 16 | Dec 2 | Dec 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $42 (-20%) | +$614 | +$621 | +$631 | +$641 |
| $44 (-15%) | +$373 | +$368 | +$372 | +$382 |
| $47 (-10%) | +$167 | +$139 | +$119 | +$122 |
| $49 (-5%) | +$35 | -$24 | -$90 | -$137 |
| $51 (-2%) | +$1 | -$69 | -$159 | -$293 |
| $52 (0%) ← spot | +$0 | -$74 | -$171 | -$397 |
| $53 (+2%) | +$16 | -$58 | -$154 | -$311 |
| $55 (+5%) | +$69 | +$1 | -$80 | -$155 |
| $57 (+10%) | +$222 | +$172 | +$126 | +$104 |
| $60 (+16%) ← target | +$456 | +$426 | +$405 | +$394 |
| $62 (+20%) | +$666 | +$647 | +$633 | +$623 |
Uses FAST's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.