Target Price Playground
FAST
$51.91
🟢
FAST IV: 25.3% — LOW
(-42.3% vs 30d avg of 43.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $56 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
📋 Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
🎯 Target
48d from today
⚙️ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $51.91 · Δ 1.00
SHORT CALL · $56 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $0.74 · Δ 0.25
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target
If FAST hits $56 by Dec 18: the covered call returns +$483 (9.4%) on $5,117 risked, vs +$409 (7.9%) for 100 shares on $5,191. Options give 1.2× capital efficiency.
📅 Expiry
Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (48 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FAST is at $56. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
📊 Projected Return
P&L if FAST hits $56 by Dec 18
+$483
+9.4% on $5,117 risked
Max Profit
+$483
If the stock ≥ $56 at expiry
Max Loss
−$5,117
If stock → $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$51.17
-1.43% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
42%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
74.61 / 1.86 / -6.03
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates
| FAST Price | Today | Nov 16 | Dec 2 | Dec 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $42 (-20%) | -$964 | -$964 | -$964 | -$964 |
| $44 (-15%) | -$706 | -$705 | -$705 | -$705 |
| $47 (-10%) | -$452 | -$447 | -$445 | -$445 |
| $49 (-5%) | -$213 | -$197 | -$187 | -$186 |
| $51 (-2%) | -$81 | -$57 | -$36 | -$30 |
| $52 (0%) ← spot | +$0 | +$30 | +$60 | +$74 |
| $53 (+2%) | +$74 | +$110 | +$150 | +$178 |
| $55 (+5%) | +$171 | +$214 | +$266 | +$334 |
| $56 (+8%) ← target | +$247 | +$293 | +$351 | +$483 |
| $57 (+10%) | +$293 | +$339 | +$396 | +$483 |
| $60 (+15%) | +$371 | +$410 | +$452 | +$483 |
| $62 (+20%) | +$414 | +$443 | +$468 | +$483 |
Uses FAST's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.