Target Price Playground
GOOG
$341.43
๐ข
GOOG IV: 33.2% โ LOW
(-27.0% vs 30d avg of 45.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $325 by Nov 20
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
65d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $340 ยท Dec '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $20.65 ยท ฮ -0.45
SHORT PUT ยท $325 ยท Nov '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $11.53 ยท ฮ -0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOG hits $325 by Nov 20: the diagonal put spread returns +$1,094 (120.0%) on $912 risked, vs $-1,643 (-4.8%) for 100 shares on $34,143. Options give 25.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Nov 20, 2026 (65 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOG is at $325. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOG hits $325 by Nov 20
+$1,094
+120.0% on $912 risked
Max Profit
+$1,045
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$911
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$345.76
+1.27% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
77%
IV-implied, 65d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-11.6 / 2.1 / 12.73
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOG Price | Today | Oct 7 | Oct 29 | Nov 20 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $273 (-20%) | +$506 | +$544 | +$562 | +$499 |
| $290 (-15%) | +$475 | +$543 | +$626 | +$587 |
| $307 (-10%) | +$401 | +$488 | +$634 | +$820 |
| $325 (-5%) โ target | +$279 | +$360 | +$515 | +$1,317 |
| $335 (-2%) | +$196 | +$264 | +$392 | +$762 |
| $341 (0%) โ spot | +$133 | +$187 | +$285 | +$430 |
| $348 (+2%) | +$66 | +$105 | +$168 | +$147 |
| $359 (+5%) | -$37 | -$23 | -$16 | -$191 |
| $376 (+10%) | -$208 | -$233 | -$305 | -$560 |
| $393 (+15%) | -$366 | -$421 | -$534 | -$755 |
| $410 (+20%) | -$503 | -$573 | -$692 | -$848 |
Uses GOOG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.