Target Price Playground
GOOG
$341.43
๐ข
GOOG IV: 33.2% โ LOW
(-27.0% vs 30d avg of 45.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $380 by Nov 20
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
65d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $340 ยท Nov '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $21.36 ยท ฮ 0.55
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOG hits $380 by Nov 20: the long call returns +$1,864 (87.3%) on $2,136 risked, vs +$3,857 (11.3%) for 100 shares on $34,143. Options give 7.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Nov 20, 2026 (65 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOG is at $380. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOG hits $380 by Nov 20
+$1,864
+87.3% on $2,136 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$2,136
Premium paid
Break-even
$361.36
+5.84% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
49%
IV-implied, 65d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.11 / -17.44 / 56.82
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOG Price | Today | Oct 7 | Oct 29 | Nov 20 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $273 (-20%) | -$1,898 | -$2,034 | -$2,124 | -$2,136 |
| $290 (-15%) | -$1,630 | -$1,860 | -$2,070 | -$2,136 |
| $307 (-10%) | -$1,190 | -$1,518 | -$1,891 | -$2,136 |
| $324 (-5%) | -$548 | -$951 | -$1,470 | -$2,136 |
| $335 (-2%) | -$60 | -$489 | -$1,059 | -$2,136 |
| $341 (0%) โ spot | +$307 | -$130 | -$713 | -$1,993 |
| $348 (+2%) | +$707 | +$269 | -$311 | -$1,310 |
| $359 (+5%) | +$1,365 | +$937 | +$388 | -$286 |
| $376 (+10%) | +$2,600 | +$2,213 | +$1,764 | +$1,421 |
| $380 (+11%) โ target | +$2,945 | +$2,573 | +$2,154 | +$1,864 |
| $393 (+15%) | +$3,978 | +$3,650 | +$3,316 | +$3,128 |
| $410 (+20%) | +$5,465 | +$5,199 | +$4,961 | +$4,836 |
Uses GOOG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.