Target Price Playground
GOOG
$341.43
๐ข
GOOG IV: 33.2% โ LOW
(-27.0% vs 30d avg of 45.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $300 by Nov 20
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
65d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $340 ยท Nov '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $18.0 ยท ฮ -0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOG hits $300 by Nov 20: the long put returns +$2,200 (122.2%) on $1,800 risked, vs $-4,143 (-12.1%) for 100 shares on $34,143. Options give 10.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Nov 20, 2026 (65 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOG is at $300. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOG hits $300 by Nov 20
+$2,200
+122.2% on $1,800 risked
Max Profit
+$32,200
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$1,800
Premium paid
Break-even
$322.00
-5.69% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
46%
IV-implied, 65d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-45.41 / -13.42 / 56.85
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOG Price | Today | Oct 7 | Oct 29 | Nov 20 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $273 (-20%) | +$4,852 | +$4,804 | +$4,806 | +$4,886 |
| $290 (-15%) | +$3,413 | +$3,270 | +$3,152 | +$3,178 |
| $300 (-12%) โ target | +$2,664 | +$2,464 | +$2,254 | +$2,200 |
| $307 (-10%) | +$2,146 | +$1,905 | +$1,624 | +$1,471 |
| $324 (-5%) | +$1,081 | +$765 | +$338 | -$236 |
| $335 (-2%) | +$545 | +$203 | -$275 | -$1,260 |
| $341 (0%) โ spot | +$229 | -$121 | -$612 | -$1,800 |
| $348 (+2%) | -$54 | -$405 | -$894 | -$1,800 |
| $359 (+5%) | -$420 | -$761 | -$1,218 | -$1,800 |
| $376 (+10%) | -$893 | -$1,192 | -$1,549 | -$1,800 |
| $393 (+15%) | -$1,222 | -$1,462 | -$1,704 | -$1,800 |
| $410 (+20%) | -$1,442 | -$1,621 | -$1,767 | -$1,800 |
Uses GOOG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.