Target Price Playground
GOOGL
$344.98
๐ข
GOOGL IV: 32.7% โ LOW
(-29.5% vs 30d avg of 46.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $305 by Nov 20
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
65d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $345 ยท Nov '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $18.8 ยท ฮ -0.46
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOGL hits $305 by Nov 20: the long put returns +$2,120 (112.8%) on $1,880 risked, vs $-3,998 (-11.6%) for 100 shares on $34,498. Options give 9.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Nov 20, 2026 (65 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOGL is at $305. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOGL hits $305 by Nov 20
+$2,120
+112.8% on $1,880 risked
Max Profit
+$32,620
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$1,880
Premium paid
Break-even
$326.20
-5.44% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
48%
IV-implied, 65d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-46.41 / -13.51 / 57.61
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOGL Price | Today | Oct 7 | Oct 29 | Nov 20 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $276 (-20%) | +$4,966 | +$4,926 | +$4,939 | +$5,022 |
| $293 (-15%) | +$3,497 | +$3,364 | +$3,261 | +$3,297 |
| $305 (-12%) โ target | +$2,589 | +$2,388 | +$2,176 | +$2,120 |
| $310 (-10%) | +$2,197 | +$1,965 | +$1,699 | +$1,572 |
| $328 (-5%) | +$1,101 | +$790 | +$372 | -$153 |
| $338 (-2%) | +$547 | +$207 | -$267 | -$1,188 |
| $345 (0%) โ spot | +$221 | -$129 | -$620 | -$1,878 |
| $352 (+2%) | -$71 | -$424 | -$916 | -$1,880 |
| $362 (+5%) | -$451 | -$795 | -$1,259 | -$1,880 |
| $379 (+10%) | -$941 | -$1,245 | -$1,611 | -$1,880 |
| $397 (+15%) | -$1,283 | -$1,527 | -$1,777 | -$1,880 |
| $414 (+20%) | -$1,511 | -$1,694 | -$1,845 | -$1,880 |
Uses GOOGL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.