Target Price Playground
GOOGL
$344.98
๐ข
GOOGL IV: 32.7% โ LOW
(-29.5% vs 30d avg of 46.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $385 by Nov 20
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
65d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $344.98 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOGL hits $385 by Nov 20: the long stock returns +$4,002 (11.6%) on $34,498 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Nov 20.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOGL hits $385 by Nov 20
+$4,002
+11.6% on $34,498 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$34,498
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$344.98
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
48%
IV-implied, 65d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOGL Price | Today | Oct 16 | Nov 15 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $276 (-20%) | -$6,900 | -$6,900 | -$6,900 |
| $293 (-15%) | -$5,175 | -$5,175 | -$5,175 |
| $310 (-10%) | -$3,450 | -$3,450 | -$3,450 |
| $328 (-5%) | -$1,725 | -$1,725 | -$1,725 |
| $338 (-2%) | -$690 | -$690 | -$690 |
| $345 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $352 (+2%) | +$690 | +$690 | +$690 |
| $362 (+5%) | +$1,725 | +$1,725 | +$1,725 |
| $379 (+10%) | +$3,450 | +$3,450 | +$3,450 |
| $385 (+12%) โ target | +$4,002 | +$4,002 | +$4,002 |
| $397 (+15%) | +$5,175 | +$5,175 | +$5,175 |
| $414 (+20%) | +$6,900 | +$6,900 | +$6,900 |
Uses GOOGL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.