Target Price Playground
GOOGL
$344.98
๐ข
GOOGL IV: 32.7% โ LOW
(-29.5% vs 30d avg of 46.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $380 by Nov 20
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
65d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $344.98 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $330 ยท Nov '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $12.4 ยท ฮ -0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOGL hits $380 by Nov 20: the protective put returns +$2,262 (6.3%) on $35,738 risked, vs +$3,502 (10.2%) for 100 shares on $34,498. Options give 0.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Nov 20, 2026 (65 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOGL is at $380. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOGL hits $380 by Nov 20
+$2,262
+6.3% on $35,738 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$2,738
Put floors you at $330
Break-even
$357.38
+3.59% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
53%
IV-implied, 65d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
65.9 / -12.8 / 55.68
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOGL Price | Today | Oct 7 | Oct 29 | Nov 20 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $276 (-20%) | -$2,628 | -$2,729 | -$2,792 | -$2,738 |
| $293 (-15%) | -$2,249 | -$2,450 | -$2,667 | -$2,738 |
| $310 (-10%) | -$1,663 | -$1,950 | -$2,327 | -$2,738 |
| $328 (-5%) | -$852 | -$1,185 | -$1,651 | -$2,738 |
| $338 (-2%) | -$259 | -$596 | -$1,065 | -$1,930 |
| $345 (0%) โ spot | +$178 | -$154 | -$603 | -$1,240 |
| $352 (+2%) | +$646 | +$326 | -$92 | -$550 |
| $362 (+5%) | +$1,401 | +$1,108 | +$753 | +$485 |
| $380 (+10%) โ target | +$2,825 | +$2,593 | +$2,357 | +$2,262 |
| $397 (+15%) | +$4,280 | +$4,108 | +$3,967 | +$3,935 |
| $414 (+20%) | +$5,862 | +$5,744 | +$5,669 | +$5,660 |
Uses GOOGL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.