Target Price Playground
GOOGL
$344.98
๐ข
GOOGL IV: 32.7% โ LOW
(-29.5% vs 30d avg of 46.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $375 by Nov 20
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
65d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $344.98 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $375 ยท Nov '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.05 ยท ฮ 0.32
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOGL hits $375 by Nov 20: the covered call returns +$4,007 (12.0%) on $33,493 risked, vs +$3,002 (8.7%) for 100 shares on $34,498. Options give 1.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Nov 20, 2026 (65 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOGL is at $375. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOGL hits $375 by Nov 20
+$4,007
+12.0% on $33,493 risked
Max Profit
+$4,007
If the stock โฅ $375 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$33,493
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$334.93
-2.91% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 65d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
67.84 / 14.71 / -53.8
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOGL Price | Today | Oct 7 | Oct 29 | Nov 20 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $276 (-20%) | -$5,964 | -$5,914 | -$5,896 | -$5,895 |
| $293 (-15%) | -$4,343 | -$4,235 | -$4,175 | -$4,170 |
| $310 (-10%) | -$2,819 | -$2,626 | -$2,476 | -$2,445 |
| $328 (-5%) | -$1,433 | -$1,139 | -$844 | -$720 |
| $338 (-2%) | -$682 | -$330 | +$66 | +$315 |
| $345 (0%) โ spot | -$220 | +$168 | +$630 | +$1,005 |
| $352 (+2%) | +$212 | +$630 | +$1,152 | +$1,695 |
| $362 (+5%) | +$799 | +$1,253 | +$1,846 | +$2,730 |
| $375 (+9%) โ target | +$1,425 | +$1,902 | +$2,537 | +$4,007 |
| $379 (+10%) | +$1,619 | +$2,099 | +$2,737 | +$4,007 |
| $397 (+15%) | +$2,252 | +$2,718 | +$3,310 | +$4,007 |
| $414 (+20%) | +$2,722 | +$3,144 | +$3,634 | +$4,007 |
Uses GOOGL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.