Target Price Playground
INTU
$341.09
🟢
INTU IV: 48.7% — LOW
(-39.8% vs 30d avg of 80.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $380 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
📋 Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
🎯 Target
48d from today
⚙️ Legs
LONG CALL · $340 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $29.23 · Δ 0.55
SHORT CALL · $370 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $17.0 · Δ 0.39
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target
If INTU hits $380 by Dec 18: the bull call spread returns +$1,777 (145.3%) on $1,223 risked, vs +$3,891 (11.4%) for 100 shares on $34,109. Options give 12.7× capital efficiency.
📅 Expiry
Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (48 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTU is at $380. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
📊 Projected Return
P&L if INTU hits $380 by Dec 18
+$1,777
+145.3% on $1,223 risked
Max Profit
+$1,777
If the stock ≥ $370 at expiry
Max Loss
−$1,223
Net debit
Break-even
$352.23
+3.27% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
54%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
16.22 / -1.97 / 3.96
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates
| INTU Price | Today | Nov 16 | Dec 2 | Dec 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $273 (-20%) | -$1,005 | -$1,103 | -$1,199 | -$1,223 |
| $290 (-15%) | -$839 | -$962 | -$1,129 | -$1,223 |
| $307 (-10%) | -$617 | -$740 | -$955 | -$1,223 |
| $324 (-5%) | -$348 | -$441 | -$636 | -$1,223 |
| $334 (-2%) | -$172 | -$234 | -$377 | -$1,223 |
| $341 (0%) ← spot | -$51 | -$88 | -$184 | -$1,114 |
| $348 (+2%) | +$71 | +$60 | +$20 | -$432 |
| $358 (+5%) | +$252 | +$282 | +$330 | +$591 |
| $375 (+10%) | +$543 | +$634 | +$812 | +$1,777 |
| $380 (+11%) ← target | +$621 | +$726 | +$932 | +$1,777 |
| $392 (+15%) | +$806 | +$942 | +$1,194 | +$1,777 |
| $409 (+20%) | +$1,032 | +$1,193 | +$1,456 | +$1,777 |
Uses INTU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.