Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder LEAP Simulator
INTU
$341.09
🟢
INTU IV: 48.7% — LOW (-39.8% vs 30d avg of 80.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $360 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

📋 Strategy

Long Stock Long Call Long Put Bull Call Spread Bear Put Spread Covered Call Protective Put Cash-Secured Put Diagonal Put Spread Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.

🎯 Target

48d from today

⚙️ Legs

SHORT PUT · $315 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $12.9 · Δ -0.29
P&L at Expiry Now $341 Target $360 $239 $341 $443
Stock (100 sh) Cash-Secured Put Now Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target

If INTU hits $360 by Dec 18: the cash-secured put returns +$1,290 (4.3%) on $-1,290 credit (max loss $30,210), vs +$1,891 (5.5%) for 100 shares on $34,109. Options give 0.8× capital efficiency.

📅 Expiry

Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (48 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTU is at $360. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

📊 Projected Return

P&L if INTU hits $360 by Dec 18
+$1,290
+4.3% on $30,210 max loss
Max Profit
+$1,290
If the stock ≥ $315 at expiry
Max Loss
−$30,210
If stock → $0 after assignment
Break-even
$302.10
-11.43% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
77%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
29.1 / 21.42 / -42.41
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
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📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates

INTU Price Today Nov 16 Dec 2 Dec 18 (exp)
$273 (-20%) -$3,471 -$3,236 -$3,002 -$2,923
$290 (-15%) -$2,306 -$1,979 -$1,583 -$1,217
$307 (-10%) -$1,343 -$958 -$451 +$488
$324 (-5%) -$580 -$181 +$344 +$1,290
$334 (-2%) -$212 +$176 +$668 +$1,290
$341 (0%) ← spot -$0 +$373 +$830 +$1,290
$348 (+2%) +$186 +$540 +$956 +$1,290
$360 (+6%) ← target +$461 +$775 +$1,108 +$1,290
$375 (+10%) +$722 +$978 +$1,211 +$1,290
$392 (+15%) +$926 +$1,119 +$1,262 +$1,290
$409 (+20%) +$1,061 +$1,199 +$1,281 +$1,290
Uses INTU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.