Target Price Playground
INTU
$341.09
🟢
INTU IV: 48.7% — LOW
(-39.8% vs 30d avg of 80.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $370 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
📋 Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
🎯 Target
48d from today
⚙️ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $341.09 · Δ 1.00
SHORT CALL · $370 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $17.0 · Δ 0.39
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target
If INTU hits $370 by Dec 18: the covered call returns +$4,591 (14.2%) on $32,409 risked, vs +$2,891 (8.5%) for 100 shares on $34,109. Options give 1.7× capital efficiency.
📅 Expiry
Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (48 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTU is at $370. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
📊 Projected Return
P&L if INTU hits $370 by Dec 18
+$4,591
+14.2% on $32,409 risked
Max Profit
+$4,591
If the stock ≥ $370 at expiry
Max Loss
−$32,409
If stock → $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$324.09
-4.98% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
65%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
61.19 / 28.86 / -44.94
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates
| INTU Price | Today | Nov 16 | Dec 2 | Dec 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $273 (-20%) | -$5,261 | -$5,167 | -$5,125 | -$5,122 |
| $290 (-15%) | -$3,711 | -$3,540 | -$3,431 | -$3,416 |
| $307 (-10%) | -$2,268 | -$2,001 | -$1,776 | -$1,711 |
| $324 (-5%) | -$962 | -$593 | -$211 | -$5 |
| $334 (-2%) | -$255 | +$170 | +$652 | +$1,018 |
| $341 (0%) ← spot | +$183 | +$641 | +$1,184 | +$1,700 |
| $348 (+2%) | +$593 | +$1,079 | +$1,676 | +$2,382 |
| $358 (+5%) | +$1,155 | +$1,674 | +$2,332 | +$3,405 |
| $370 (+8%) ← target | +$1,730 | +$2,269 | +$2,962 | +$4,591 |
| $375 (+10%) | +$1,957 | +$2,498 | +$3,193 | +$4,591 |
| $392 (+15%) | +$2,596 | +$3,124 | +$3,777 | +$4,591 |
| $409 (+20%) | +$3,092 | +$3,579 | +$4,136 | +$4,591 |
Uses INTU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.