Target Price Playground
INTU
$341.09
🟢
INTU IV: 48.7% — LOW
(-39.8% vs 30d avg of 80.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $380 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
📋 Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
🎯 Target
48d from today
⚙️ Legs
LONG CALL · $340 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $29.23 · Δ 0.55
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target
If INTU hits $380 by Dec 18: the long call returns +$1,077 (36.8%) on $2,923 risked, vs +$3,891 (11.4%) for 100 shares on $34,109. Options give 3.2× capital efficiency.
📅 Expiry
Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (48 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTU is at $380. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
📊 Projected Return
P&L if INTU hits $380 by Dec 18
+$1,077
+36.8% on $2,923 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
−$2,923
Premium paid
Break-even
$369.23
+8.25% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
54%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
55.04 / -30.83 / 48.9
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates
| INTU Price | Today | Nov 16 | Dec 2 | Dec 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $273 (-20%) | -$2,567 | -$2,758 | -$2,896 | -$2,923 |
| $290 (-15%) | -$2,245 | -$2,537 | -$2,813 | -$2,923 |
| $307 (-10%) | -$1,760 | -$2,150 | -$2,590 | -$2,923 |
| $324 (-5%) | -$1,091 | -$1,553 | -$2,130 | -$2,923 |
| $334 (-2%) | -$599 | -$1,086 | -$1,711 | -$2,923 |
| $341 (0%) ← spot | -$234 | -$729 | -$1,368 | -$2,814 |
| $348 (+2%) | +$160 | -$338 | -$974 | -$2,132 |
| $358 (+5%) | +$802 | +$313 | -$297 | -$1,109 |
| $375 (+10%) | +$1,998 | +$1,547 | +$1,030 | +$597 |
| $380 (+11%) ← target | +$2,359 | +$1,924 | +$1,439 | +$1,077 |
| $392 (+15%) | +$3,326 | +$2,934 | +$2,533 | +$2,302 |
| $409 (+20%) | +$4,762 | +$4,435 | +$4,142 | +$4,008 |
Uses INTU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.