Target Price Playground
INTU
$341.09
๐ข
INTU IV: 48.7% โ LOW
(-39.8% vs 30d avg of 80.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $380 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
48d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $341.09 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTU hits $380 by Dec 18: the long stock returns +$3,891 (11.4%) on $34,109 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Dec 18.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTU hits $380 by Dec 18
+$3,891
+11.4% on $34,109 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$34,109
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$341.09
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
54%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTU Price | Today | Nov 30 | Dec 30 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $273 (-20%) | -$6,822 | -$6,822 | -$6,822 |
| $290 (-15%) | -$5,116 | -$5,116 | -$5,116 |
| $307 (-10%) | -$3,411 | -$3,411 | -$3,411 |
| $324 (-5%) | -$1,705 | -$1,705 | -$1,705 |
| $334 (-2%) | -$682 | -$682 | -$682 |
| $341 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $348 (+2%) | +$682 | +$682 | +$682 |
| $358 (+5%) | +$1,705 | +$1,705 | +$1,705 |
| $375 (+10%) | +$3,411 | +$3,411 | +$3,411 |
| $380 (+11%) โ target | +$3,891 | +$3,891 | +$3,891 |
| $392 (+15%) | +$5,116 | +$5,116 | +$5,116 |
| $409 (+20%) | +$6,822 | +$6,822 | +$6,822 |
Uses INTU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.