Target Price Playground
INTU
$341.09
🟢
INTU IV: 48.7% — LOW
(-39.8% vs 30d avg of 80.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $375 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
📋 Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
🎯 Target
48d from today
⚙️ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $341.09 · Δ 1.00
LONG PUT · $325 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $16.78 · Δ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target
If INTU hits $375 by Dec 18: the protective put returns +$1,713 (4.8%) on $35,787 risked, vs +$3,391 (9.9%) for 100 shares on $34,109. Options give 0.5× capital efficiency.
📅 Expiry
Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (48 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTU is at $375. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
📊 Projected Return
P&L if INTU hits $375 by Dec 18
+$1,713
+4.8% on $35,787 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
−$3,287
Put floors you at $325
Break-even
$357.87
+4.92% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
60%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
64.93 / -22.97 / 45.85
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates
| INTU Price | Today | Nov 16 | Dec 2 | Dec 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $273 (-20%) | -$2,925 | -$3,115 | -$3,276 | -$3,287 |
| $290 (-15%) | -$2,481 | -$2,771 | -$3,095 | -$3,287 |
| $307 (-10%) | -$1,848 | -$2,217 | -$2,687 | -$3,287 |
| $324 (-5%) | -$1,018 | -$1,426 | -$1,970 | -$3,287 |
| $334 (-2%) | -$429 | -$840 | -$1,382 | -$2,360 |
| $341 (0%) ← spot | +$0 | -$405 | -$929 | -$1,678 |
| $348 (+2%) | +$456 | +$62 | -$431 | -$996 |
| $358 (+5%) | +$1,187 | +$819 | +$385 | +$27 |
| $375 (+10%) ← target | +$2,499 | +$2,188 | +$1,869 | +$1,713 |
| $392 (+15%) | +$3,954 | +$3,709 | +$3,499 | +$3,438 |
| $409 (+20%) | +$5,477 | +$5,294 | +$5,166 | +$5,144 |
Uses INTU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.