Target Price Playground
INTU
$341.09
🟢
INTU IV: 48.7% — LOW
(-39.8% vs 30d avg of 80.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $390 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
📋 Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
🎯 Target
48d from today
⚙️ Legs
LONG CALL · $340 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $29.23 · Δ 0.55
LONG PUT · $340 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $26.7 · Δ -0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target
If INTU hits $390 by Dec 18: the long straddle returns $-593 (-10.6%) on $5,593 risked, vs +$4,891 (14.3%) for 100 shares on $34,109. Options give 0.7× capital efficiency.
📅 Expiry
Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (48 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTU is at $390. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
📊 Projected Return
P&L if INTU hits $390 by Dec 18
$-593
-10.6% on $5,593 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
−$5,593
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$395.93
+16.08% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
44%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
9.77 / -56.95 / 97.88
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates
| INTU Price | Today | Nov 16 | Dec 2 | Dec 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $273 (-20%) | +$1,632 | +$1,316 | +$1,106 | +$1,120 |
| $290 (-15%) | +$570 | +$51 | -$434 | -$586 |
| $307 (-10%) | -$165 | -$878 | -$1,692 | -$2,291 |
| $324 (-5%) | -$533 | -$1,390 | -$2,479 | -$3,997 |
| $334 (-2%) | -$572 | -$1,480 | -$2,663 | -$5,020 |
| $341 (0%) ← spot | -$524 | -$1,449 | -$2,658 | -$5,484 |
| $348 (+2%) | -$419 | -$1,347 | -$2,553 | -$4,802 |
| $358 (+5%) | -$158 | -$1,069 | -$2,221 | -$3,779 |
| $375 (+10%) | +$528 | -$306 | -$1,274 | -$2,073 |
| $390 (+14%) ← target | +$1,341 | +$607 | -$159 | -$593 |
| $409 (+20%) | +$2,646 | +$2,058 | +$1,540 | +$1,338 |
Uses INTU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.