Target Price Playground
NXPI
$259.61
๐ข
NXPI IV: 43.5% โ LOW
(-28.9% vs 30d avg of 61.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $290 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
48d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $259.61 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If NXPI hits $290 by Dec 18: the long stock returns +$3,039 (11.7%) on $25,961 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Dec 18.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if NXPI hits $290 by Dec 18
+$3,039
+11.7% on $25,961 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$25,961
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$259.61
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
48%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| NXPI Price | Today | Nov 30 | Dec 30 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $208 (-20%) | -$5,192 | -$5,192 | -$5,192 |
| $221 (-15%) | -$3,894 | -$3,894 | -$3,894 |
| $234 (-10%) | -$2,596 | -$2,596 | -$2,596 |
| $247 (-5%) | -$1,298 | -$1,298 | -$1,298 |
| $254 (-2%) | -$519 | -$519 | -$519 |
| $260 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $265 (+2%) | +$519 | +$519 | +$519 |
| $273 (+5%) | +$1,298 | +$1,298 | +$1,298 |
| $286 (+10%) | +$2,596 | +$2,596 | +$2,596 |
| $290 (+12%) โ target | +$3,039 | +$3,039 | +$3,039 |
| $299 (+15%) | +$3,894 | +$3,894 | +$3,894 |
| $312 (+20%) | +$5,192 | +$5,192 | +$5,192 |
Uses NXPI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.