Target Price Playground
PYPL
$57.01
๐ข
PYPL IV: 27.2% โ LOW
(-56.5% vs 30d avg of 62.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $64 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
48d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $57.01 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PYPL hits $64 by Dec 18: the long stock returns +$699 (12.3%) on $5,701 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Dec 18.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PYPL hits $64 by Dec 18
+$699
+12.3% on $5,701 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$5,701
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$57.01
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
28%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PYPL Price | Today | Nov 30 | Dec 30 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $46 (-20%) | -$1,140 | -$1,140 | -$1,140 |
| $48 (-15%) | -$855 | -$855 | -$855 |
| $51 (-10%) | -$570 | -$570 | -$570 |
| $54 (-5%) | -$285 | -$285 | -$285 |
| $56 (-2%) | -$114 | -$114 | -$114 |
| $57 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $58 (+2%) | +$114 | +$114 | +$114 |
| $60 (+5%) | +$285 | +$285 | +$285 |
| $63 (+10%) | +$570 | +$570 | +$570 |
| $64 (+12%) โ target | +$699 | +$699 | +$699 |
| $66 (+15%) | +$855 | +$855 | +$855 |
| $68 (+20%) | +$1,140 | +$1,140 | +$1,140 |
Uses PYPL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.