Target Price Playground
TSLA
$356.58
๐ข
TSLA IV: 45.3% โ LOW
(-25.8% vs 30d avg of 61.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $400 by Nov 20
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
65d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $355 ยท Nov '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $30.05 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TSLA hits $400 by Nov 20: the long call returns +$1,495 (49.8%) on $3,005 risked, vs +$4,342 (12.2%) for 100 shares on $35,658. Options give 4.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Nov 20, 2026 (65 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TSLA is at $400. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TSLA hits $400 by Nov 20
+$1,495
+49.8% on $3,005 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$3,005
Premium paid
Break-even
$385.05
+7.98% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
53%
IV-implied, 65d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.33 / -22.8 / 59.43
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TSLA Price | Today | Oct 7 | Oct 29 | Nov 20 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $285 (-20%) | -$2,579 | -$2,796 | -$2,968 | -$3,005 |
| $303 (-15%) | -$2,218 | -$2,540 | -$2,865 | -$3,005 |
| $321 (-10%) | -$1,686 | -$2,106 | -$2,607 | -$3,005 |
| $339 (-5%) | -$965 | -$1,458 | -$2,100 | -$3,005 |
| $349 (-2%) | -$441 | -$958 | -$1,648 | -$3,005 |
| $357 (0%) โ spot | -$53 | -$579 | -$1,283 | -$2,847 |
| $364 (+2%) | +$363 | -$165 | -$868 | -$2,134 |
| $374 (+5%) | +$1,040 | +$519 | -$157 | -$1,064 |
| $392 (+10%) | +$2,294 | +$1,810 | +$1,226 | +$719 |
| $400 (+12%) โ target | +$2,884 | +$2,422 | +$1,889 | +$1,495 |
| $410 (+15%) | +$3,683 | +$3,255 | +$2,790 | +$2,502 |
| $428 (+20%) | +$5,181 | +$4,816 | +$4,464 | +$4,285 |
Uses TSLA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.