AAPL Covered Call Analysis: Proceed With Caution Weak ยท 58/100

Apple Inc. (Technology) ยท $311.30 ยท Analysis generated Aug 21, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Aug 21

Quick Take

AAPL is trading at $311.30 with RSI at 51 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 26% โ€” 41% below its 30-day average of 44%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
51
IV Today
26.1%
IV vs 30d Avg
-41%
MACD
bearish
ADX
19
MFI
63

The Setup

AAPL Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $311.3
SHORT CALL
$335 Oct '26 ยท $4.48/sh
Net Cost
$30,682
Max Profit
+$2,818
Break-even
$306.82
Projected P&L at Target
+$2,818 (9.2%)
P&L at Expiry Now $311 $218 $311 $405

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different AAPL prices by expiry:

AAPL Price Today Sep 8 Sep 27 Oct 16 (exp)
$249 (-20%) -$5,783 -$5,779 -$5,778 -$5,778
$265 (-15%) -$4,247 -$4,227 -$4,221 -$4,221
$280 (-10%) -$2,761 -$2,699 -$2,667 -$2,665
$296 (-5%) -$1,379 -$1,244 -$1,133 -$1,108
$305 (-2%) -$632 -$443 -$254 -$175
$311 (0%) โ† now -$175 +$48 +$297 +$448
$318 (+2%) +$243 +$497 +$804 +$1,071
$327 (+5%) +$794 +$1,081 +$1,457 +$2,005
$335 (+8%) โ† target +$1,198 +$1,499 +$1,901 +$2,818
$342 (+10%) +$1,506 +$1,807 +$2,203 +$2,818
$358 (+15%) +$1,982 +$2,251 +$2,566 +$2,818
$374 (+20%) +$2,273 +$2,486 +$2,696 +$2,818

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 51 โ€” neutral-bullish
  • IV -41% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bearish โ€” stock may keep falling (risk)
  • ADX at 19 โ€” range-bound, perfect for selling calls
  • No squeeze โ€” no imminent breakout

Key Risks

The main risk is missing upside if AAPL rallies sharply. The premium received ($X per share) provides a buffer, but gains above the strike are forfeited.
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