ADI Covered Call Analysis: Proceed With Caution Weak ยท 55/100

Analog Devices Inc (Technology) ยท $370.24 ยท Analysis generated Aug 21, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Aug 21

Quick Take

ADI is trading at $370.24 with RSI at 47 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 39% โ€” 62% below its 30-day average of 104%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
47
IV Today
39.3%
IV vs 30d Avg
-62%
MACD
bullish
ADX
14
MFI
53

The Setup

ADI Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $370.24
SHORT CALL
$400 Oct '26 ยท $12.03/sh
Net Cost
$35,821
Max Profit
+$4,179
Break-even
$358.21
Projected P&L at Target
+$4,179 (11.7%)
P&L at Expiry Now $370 $259 $370 $481

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different ADI prices by expiry:

ADI Price Today Sep 8 Sep 27 Oct 16 (exp)
$296 (-20%) -$6,275 -$6,222 -$6,203 -$6,202
$315 (-15%) -$4,537 -$4,422 -$4,357 -$4,351
$333 (-10%) -$2,904 -$2,698 -$2,534 -$2,499
$352 (-5%) -$1,425 -$1,113 -$792 -$648
$363 (-2%) -$626 -$254 +$176 +$463
$370 (0%) โ† now -$136 +$273 +$771 +$1,203
$378 (+2%) +$320 +$760 +$1,320 +$1,943
$389 (+5%) +$939 +$1,413 +$2,042 +$3,054
$400 (+8%) โ† target +$1,486 +$1,978 +$2,640 +$4,179
$407 (+10%) +$1,798 +$2,292 +$2,955 +$4,179
$426 (+15%) +$2,454 +$2,927 +$3,527 +$4,179
$444 (+20%) +$2,935 +$3,357 +$3,839 +$4,179

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 47
  • IV -62% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bullish โ€” stock has upward momentum
  • ADX at 14 โ€” range-bound, perfect for selling calls
  • TTM Squeeze ON โ€” breakout imminent, risky for capped strategies

Key Risks

ADI has bullish momentum (MACD). If a positive catalyst emerges (earnings beat, product launch), the stock could gap past your strike. Consider rolling the call up if ADI approaches the strike before expiry.
TTM Squeeze is ON โ€” a volatility breakout may be imminent. If the breakout is to the upside, your short call will be tested quickly.
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