AMGN Covered Call Strategy: Is Now a Good Time to Sell Calls? Moderate ยท 70/100

Amgen Inc (Healthcare) ยท $402.60 ยท Analysis generated Oct 7, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Oct 7

Quick Take

AMGN is trading at $402.60 with RSI at 47 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 28% โ€” 51% below its 30-day average of 58%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
47
IV Today
28.4%
IV vs 30d Avg
-51%
MACD
bullish
ADX
24
MFI
71

The Setup

AMGN Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $402.6
SHORT CALL
$435 Dec '26 ยท $7.7/sh
Net Cost
$39,490
Max Profit
+$4,010
Break-even
$394.90
Projected P&L at Target
+$4,010 (10.2%)
P&L at Expiry Now $403 $282 $403 $523

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different AMGN prices by expiry:

AMGN Price Today Oct 31 Nov 24 Dec 18 (exp)
$322 (-20%) -$7,323 -$7,290 -$7,282 -$7,282
$342 (-15%) -$5,394 -$5,307 -$5,271 -$5,269
$362 (-10%) -$3,566 -$3,389 -$3,273 -$3,256
$382 (-5%) -$1,900 -$1,604 -$1,338 -$1,243
$395 (-2%) -$1,002 -$634 -$251 -$35
$403 (0%) โ† now -$452 -$40 +$422 +$770
$411 (+2%) +$56 +$507 +$1,041 +$1,575
$423 (+5%) +$740 +$1,234 +$1,851 +$2,783
$435 (+8%) โ† target +$1,337 +$1,854 +$2,510 +$4,010
$443 (+10%) +$1,669 +$2,189 +$2,845 +$4,010
$463 (+15%) +$2,353 +$2,845 +$3,427 +$4,010
$483 (+20%) +$2,831 +$3,260 +$3,710 +$4,010

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 47
  • IV -51% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bullish โ€” stock has upward momentum
  • ADX at 24 โ€” moderate trend
  • No squeeze โ€” no imminent breakout
  • MFI at 71 โ€” money flow confirms overbought

Key Risks

AMGN has bullish momentum (MACD). If a positive catalyst emerges (earnings beat, product launch), the stock could gap past your strike. Consider rolling the call up if AMGN approaches the strike before expiry.
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