GOOG Covered Call Strategy: Is Now a Good Time to Sell Calls? Moderate ยท 63/100

Alphabet Inc Class C (Communication Services) ยท $341.43 ยท Analysis generated Sep 16, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Sep 16

Quick Take

GOOG is trading at $341.43 with RSI at 50 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 33% โ€” 27% below its 30-day average of 46%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
50
IV Today
33.3%
IV vs 30d Avg
-27%
MACD
bullish
ADX
8
MFI
44

The Setup

GOOG Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $341.43
SHORT CALL
$370 Nov '26 ยท $9.8/sh
Net Cost
$33,163
Max Profit
+$3,837
Break-even
$331.63
Projected P&L at Target
+$3,837 (11.6%)
P&L at Expiry Now $341 $239 $341 $444

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different GOOG prices by expiry:

GOOG Price Today Oct 7 Oct 29 Nov 20 (exp)
$273 (-20%) -$5,925 -$5,870 -$5,850 -$5,849
$290 (-15%) -$4,328 -$4,213 -$4,147 -$4,141
$307 (-10%) -$2,830 -$2,629 -$2,469 -$2,434
$324 (-5%) -$1,472 -$1,172 -$864 -$727
$335 (-2%) -$739 -$381 +$27 +$297
$341 (0%) โ† now -$287 +$105 +$578 +$980
$348 (+2%) +$134 +$555 +$1,086 +$1,663
$359 (+5%) +$706 +$1,161 +$1,758 +$2,687
$370 (+8%) โ† target +$1,265 +$1,739 +$2,373 +$3,837
$376 (+10%) +$1,504 +$1,982 +$2,617 +$3,837
$393 (+15%) +$2,120 +$2,582 +$3,167 +$3,837
$410 (+20%) +$2,577 +$2,995 +$3,476 +$3,837

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 50 โ€” neutral-bullish
  • IV -27% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bullish โ€” stock has upward momentum
  • ADX at 8 โ€” range-bound, perfect for selling calls
  • TTM Squeeze ON โ€” breakout imminent, risky for capped strategies

Key Risks

GOOG has bullish momentum (MACD). If a positive catalyst emerges (earnings beat, product launch), the stock could gap past your strike. Consider rolling the call up if GOOG approaches the strike before expiry.
TTM Squeeze is ON โ€” a volatility breakout may be imminent. If the breakout is to the upside, your short call will be tested quickly.
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