LRCX Covered Call Strategy: Is Now a Good Time to Sell Calls? Moderate ยท 70/100

Lam Research Corp (Technology) ยท $310.53 ยท Analysis generated Aug 21, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Aug 21

Quick Take

LRCX is trading at $310.53 with RSI at 47 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 63% โ€” 40% below its 30-day average of 106%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
47
IV Today
62.8%
IV vs 30d Avg
-41%
MACD
bullish
ADX
11
MFI
52

The Setup

LRCX Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $310.53
SHORT CALL
$335 Oct '26 ยท $22.58/sh
Net Cost
$28,795
Max Profit
+$4,705
Break-even
$287.95
Projected P&L at Target
+$4,705 (16.3%)
P&L at Expiry Now $311 $217 $311 $404

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different LRCX prices by expiry:

LRCX Price Today Sep 8 Sep 27 Oct 16 (exp)
$248 (-20%) -$4,403 -$4,169 -$3,988 -$3,953
$264 (-15%) -$3,136 -$2,810 -$2,503 -$2,400
$279 (-10%) -$1,973 -$1,554 -$1,095 -$847
$295 (-5%) -$927 -$424 +$190 +$705
$304 (-2%) -$356 +$189 +$886 +$1,637
$311 (0%) โ† now -$0 +$569 +$1,313 +$2,258
$317 (+2%) +$336 +$926 +$1,710 +$2,879
$326 (+5%) +$806 +$1,418 +$2,246 +$3,811
$335 (+8%) โ† target +$1,217 +$1,843 +$2,694 +$4,705
$342 (+10%) +$1,496 +$2,127 +$2,982 +$4,705
$357 (+15%) +$2,078 +$2,704 +$3,534 +$4,705
$373 (+20%) +$2,563 +$3,165 +$3,927 +$4,705

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 47
  • IV -40% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bullish โ€” stock has upward momentum
  • ADX at 11 โ€” range-bound, perfect for selling calls
  • No squeeze โ€” no imminent breakout

Key Risks

LRCX has bullish momentum (MACD). If a positive catalyst emerges (earnings beat, product launch), the stock could gap past your strike. Consider rolling the call up if LRCX approaches the strike before expiry.
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