PLTR Covered Call Strategy: Is Now a Good Time to Sell Calls? Moderate ยท 70/100

Palantir Technologies Inc. (Technology) ยท $173.96 ยท Analysis generated Aug 20, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Aug 20

Quick Take

PLTR is trading at $173.96 with RSI at 67 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 55% โ€” 24% below its 30-day average of 72%. While the stock is extended, IV is below average which means premiums aren't as rich. The trade still works but yields less income than usual.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
67
IV Today
55.3%
IV vs 30d Avg
-24%
MACD
bullish
ADX
32
MFI
72

The Setup

PLTR Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $173.96
SHORT CALL
$190 Oct '26 ยท $7.65/sh
Net Cost
$16,631
Max Profit
+$2,369
Break-even
$166.31
Projected P&L at Target
+$2,369 (14.2%)
P&L at Expiry Now $174 $122 $174 $226

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different PLTR prices by expiry:

PLTR Price Today Sep 8 Sep 27 Oct 16 (exp)
$139 (-20%) -$2,849 -$2,769 -$2,720 -$2,714
$148 (-15%) -$2,092 -$1,966 -$1,866 -$1,844
$157 (-10%) -$1,391 -$1,215 -$1,041 -$975
$165 (-5%) -$756 -$530 -$270 -$105
$170 (-2%) -$410 -$157 +$153 +$417
$174 (0%) โ† now -$195 +$75 +$415 +$765
$177 (+2%) +$9 +$292 +$659 +$1,113
$183 (+5%) +$291 +$590 +$989 +$1,635
$190 (+9%) โ† target +$643 +$954 +$1,376 +$2,369
$200 (+15%) +$1,043 +$1,354 +$1,767 +$2,369
$209 (+20%) +$1,320 +$1,617 +$1,991 +$2,369

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 67 โ€” extended, ideal for selling calls
  • IV -24% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bullish โ€” stock has upward momentum
  • ADX at 32 โ€” strong trend, stock may run past strike
  • No squeeze โ€” no imminent breakout
  • MFI at 72 โ€” money flow confirms overbought

Key Risks

PLTR has bullish momentum (MACD). If a positive catalyst emerges (earnings beat, product launch), the stock could gap past your strike. Consider rolling the call up if PLTR approaches the strike before expiry.
ADX at 32 indicates a moderately strong trend. In trending markets, covered calls cap your upside too early. Use a higher strike to leave more room.
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