Why SBUX Is an Excellent Covered Call Candidate Right Now Strong ยท 78/100

Starbucks Corporation (Consumer Cyclical) ยท $101.16 ยท Analysis generated Jun 18, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Jun 18

Quick Take

SBUX is trading at $101.16 with RSI at 52 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 30% โ€” 46% below its 30-day average of 56%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
52
IV Today
30.2%
IV vs 30d Avg
-46%
MACD
bullish
ADX
19
MFI
51

The Setup

SBUX Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $101.16
SHORT CALL
$110 Aug '26 ยท $2.4/sh
Net Cost
$9,876
Max Profit
+$1,124
Break-even
$98.76
Projected P&L at Target
+$1,124 (11.4%)
P&L at Expiry Now $101 $71 $101 $132

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different SBUX prices by expiry:

SBUX Price Today Jul 9 Jul 30 Aug 21 (exp)
$81 (-20%) -$1,789 -$1,784 -$1,783 -$1,783
$86 (-15%) -$1,297 -$1,283 -$1,277 -$1,277
$91 (-10%) -$828 -$794 -$774 -$772
$96 (-5%) -$395 -$334 -$282 -$266
$99 (-2%) -$159 -$80 -$2 +$38
$101 (0%) โ† now -$15 +$76 +$173 +$240
$103 (+2%) +$119 +$220 +$336 +$442
$106 (+5%) +$300 +$412 +$551 +$746
$110 (+9%) โ† target +$489 +$610 +$762 +$1,124
$111 (+10%) +$545 +$666 +$818 +$1,124
$116 (+15%) +$723 +$838 +$975 +$1,124
$121 (+20%) +$846 +$946 +$1,051 +$1,124

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 52 โ€” neutral-bullish
  • IV -46% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bullish โ€” stock has upward momentum
  • ADX at 19 โ€” range-bound, perfect for selling calls
  • No squeeze โ€” no imminent breakout

Key Risks

SBUX has bullish momentum (MACD). If a positive catalyst emerges (earnings beat, product launch), the stock could gap past your strike. Consider rolling the call up if SBUX approaches the strike before expiry.
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