TSLA Covered Call Strategy: Is Now a Good Time to Sell Calls? Moderate ยท 65/100

Tesla Inc (Consumer Cyclical) ยท $345.13 ยท Analysis generated Aug 20, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Aug 20

Quick Take

TSLA is trading at $345.13 with RSI at 49 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 47% โ€” 29% below its 30-day average of 66%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
49
IV Today
47.1%
IV vs 30d Avg
-29%
MACD
bullish
ADX
22
MFI
64

The Setup

TSLA Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $345.13
SHORT CALL
$375 Oct '26 ยท $12.42/sh
Net Cost
$33,271
Max Profit
+$4,229
Break-even
$332.71
Projected P&L at Target
+$4,229 (12.7%)
P&L at Expiry Now $345 $242 $345 $449

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different TSLA prices by expiry:

TSLA Price Today Sep 8 Sep 27 Oct 16 (exp)
$276 (-20%) -$5,805 -$5,710 -$5,664 -$5,661
$293 (-15%) -$4,238 -$4,068 -$3,952 -$3,935
$311 (-10%) -$2,780 -$2,515 -$2,278 -$2,209
$328 (-5%) -$1,461 -$1,096 -$698 -$484
$338 (-2%) -$745 -$325 +$174 +$552
$345 (0%) โ† now -$302 +$150 +$712 +$1,242
$352 (+2%) +$113 +$593 +$1,210 +$1,932
$362 (+5%) +$683 +$1,195 +$1,876 +$2,968
$375 (+9%) โ† target +$1,293 +$1,826 +$2,546 +$4,229
$380 (+10%) +$1,495 +$2,031 +$2,753 +$4,229
$397 (+15%) +$2,145 +$2,671 +$3,355 +$4,229
$414 (+20%) +$2,651 +$3,139 +$3,728 +$4,229

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 49
  • IV -29% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bullish โ€” stock has upward momentum
  • ADX at 22 โ€” moderate trend
  • No squeeze โ€” no imminent breakout

Key Risks

TSLA has bullish momentum (MACD). If a positive catalyst emerges (earnings beat, product launch), the stock could gap past your strike. Consider rolling the call up if TSLA approaches the strike before expiry.
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