TXN Covered Call Strategy: Is Now a Good Time to Sell Calls? Moderate ยท 73/100

Texas Instruments Incorporated (Technology) ยท $300.84 ยท Analysis generated Oct 30, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Oct 30

Quick Take

TXN is trading at $300.84 with RSI at 58 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 38% โ€” 48% below its 30-day average of 74%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
58
IV Today
38.4%
IV vs 30d Avg
-48%
MACD
bullish
ADX
22
MFI
54

The Setup

TXN Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $300.84
SHORT CALL
$325 Dec '26 ยท $8.15/sh
Net Cost
$29,269
Max Profit
+$3,231
Break-even
$292.69
Projected P&L at Target
+$3,231 (11.0%)
P&L at Expiry Now $301 $211 $301 $391

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different TXN prices by expiry:

TXN Price Today Nov 16 Dec 2 Dec 18 (exp)
$241 (-20%) -$5,244 -$5,212 -$5,202 -$5,202
$256 (-15%) -$3,815 -$3,737 -$3,701 -$3,698
$271 (-10%) -$2,465 -$2,316 -$2,212 -$2,193
$286 (-5%) -$1,236 -$1,001 -$778 -$689
$295 (-2%) -$574 -$286 +$23 +$213
$301 (0%) โ† now -$166 +$153 +$518 +$815
$307 (+2%) +$212 +$558 +$974 +$1,417
$316 (+5%) +$723 +$1,098 +$1,572 +$2,319
$325 (+8%) โ† target +$1,171 +$1,562 +$2,063 +$3,231
$331 (+10%) +$1,426 +$1,819 +$2,319 +$3,231
$346 (+15%) +$1,956 +$2,327 +$2,772 +$3,231
$361 (+20%) +$2,336 +$2,661 +$3,005 +$3,231

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 58 โ€” neutral-bullish
  • IV -48% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bullish โ€” stock has upward momentum
  • ADX at 22 โ€” moderate trend
  • No squeeze โ€” no imminent breakout

Key Risks

TXN has bullish momentum (MACD). If a positive catalyst emerges (earnings beat, product launch), the stock could gap past your strike. Consider rolling the call up if TXN approaches the strike before expiry.
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