Why is ALMS Down Today?

ALMS
$9.20
▼ -7.07% ($-0.65)
Last updated: Sep 11, 2026 8:31 PM ET (69 min ago)

About Alumis Inc. Common Stock

Alumis Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on identifying, acquiring, and accelerating the development and commercialization of transformative medicines for autoimmune disorders. The Company leverages its proprietary precision data analytics platform, biological insights, and a...

Sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
Market Cap: $422.50M
Forward P/E: -2.0
52-Week Range: $3.76 - $31.35
Employees: 252

Overall Confidence: 60%

60% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

SYMPATHY 60% Confidence
🎯 Outperforming sector by 6.5%
This stock is significantly underperforming its PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS sector peers, suggesting a stock-specific catalyst.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 0.6x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS sector: -0.5%

ALMS is outperforming its sector by -6.5%. This suggests a stock-specific catalyst.

Market Comparison

ALMS is significantly underperforming the market (-7.9% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
+0.85%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
+0.87%
ALMS
This Stock
-7.07%
vs S&P 500: -7.92%
vs Nasdaq: -7.94%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, ALMS is expected to trade between:
$8.92 - $9.38

Key Level to Watch

$8.74 support
Watch for breakdown below $9.20

Quick Trade Ideas

Options strategies to consider for ALMS's -7% move

📊

No Options Available

ALMS doesn't have listed options or options data is currently unavailable.

Try another stock in our Options Calculator →
Disclaimer: These are educational examples only, not investment advice. Options involve significant risk including total loss of premium. Prices shown are estimates and may differ from actual market prices. Always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance.

🔔 Get ALMS Alerts

We'll notify you when ALMS's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Sep 11, 2026 8:31 PM (69 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Options Market Insight

Bullish
Options Sentiment
0.35
Put/Call Ratio
175.9%
Implied Volatility
Call Volume: 14,431
Put Volume: 5,066
Total: 19,497
Unusual Activity: $15 CALL (4,540 vol) $17 CALL (1,900 vol)

Historical Context

ALMS has moved more than 3.0% down on 50 occasions in the past year.

56.0%
Continuation Rate
28/50 times continued down
+1.78%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar down moves
Last similar move: Sep 09, 2026 (-7.4%) → Next day: +1.0%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is ALMS stock down today?

This stock is significantly underperforming its PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS sector peers, suggesting a stock-specific catalyst.

Is ALMS stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, ALMS shows 60% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the ALMS stock price target?

ALMS is currently trading at $9.20. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $8.92 - $9.38. See long-term price prediction →

Will ALMS stock continue falling?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that ALMS's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $8.74 (support).

Is ALMS stock oversold or overbought?

ALMS's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 21.4. This indicates oversold conditions - the stock may be due for a bounce as selling pressure appears exhausted.

What is the momentum for ALMS stock?

ALMS's 10-day momentum indicator is at -14.03. Strong bearish momentum - the stock is experiencing significant downward pressure. Watch for potential reversal signals.

Is ALMS outperforming or underperforming the market?

ALMS (-7.07%) is currently significantly underperforming the market (-7.9% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is up 0.85%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is up 0.87%.

What does MACD indicate for ALMS?

ALMS's MACD (-4.38) is currently below the signal line (-3.37), indicating a bearish trend. This technical signal suggests selling pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 45.5) is strong.

Is ALMS in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, ALMS is in a bearish trend. The price ($9.20) is trading below both the 20-day SMA ($18.32) and 50-day SMA ($23.95). This alignment typically indicates sustained downward pressure.

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