Why is ALMS Down Today?

ALMS
$7.23
▼ -2.17% ($-0.16)
Last updated: Oct 01, 2026 4:36 PM ET (452 min ago)

About Alumis Inc. Common Stock

Alumis Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on identifying, acquiring, and accelerating the development and commercialization of transformative medicines for autoimmune disorders. The Company leverages its proprietary precision data analytics platform, biological insights, and a...

Sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
Market Cap: $422.50M
Forward P/E: -2.0
52-Week Range: $3.92 - $31.35
Employees: 252

Overall Confidence: 65%

65% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

SECTOR 65% Confidence
🎯 PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS sector moving together
This appears to be a sector-wide move. The PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS sector is down 1.8% on average.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 0.1x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS sector: -1.8%

This appears to be a sector-wide move. Most PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS stocks are moving in the same direction.

Market Comparison

ALMS is significantly underperforming the market (-2.4% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
+0.18%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
+0.31%
ALMS
This Stock
-2.17%
vs S&P 500: -2.35%
vs Nasdaq: -2.48%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, ALMS is expected to trade between:
$7.01 - $7.37

Key Level to Watch

$6.87 support
Watch for breakdown below $7.23

🔔 Get ALMS Alerts

We'll notify you when ALMS's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Oct 01, 2026 4:36 PM (452 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Options Market Insight

Bullish
Options Sentiment
0.64
Put/Call Ratio
149.0%
Implied Volatility
Call Volume: 10,413
Put Volume: 6,652
Total: 17,065

Historical Context

ALMS has moved more than 3.0% down on 52 occasions in the past year.

57.7%
Continuation Rate
30/52 times continued down
+1.53%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar down moves
Last similar move: Sep 23, 2026 (-8.3%) → Next day: -2.0%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is ALMS stock down today?

This appears to be a sector-wide move. The PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS sector is down 1.8% on average.

Is ALMS stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, ALMS shows 65% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the ALMS stock price target?

ALMS is currently trading at $7.23. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $7.01 - $7.37. See long-term price prediction →

Will ALMS stock continue falling?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that ALMS's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $6.87 (support).

Is ALMS stock oversold or overbought?

ALMS's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 22.0. This indicates oversold conditions - the stock may be due for a bounce as selling pressure appears exhausted.

What is the momentum for ALMS stock?

ALMS's 10-day momentum indicator is at -0.61. Negative momentum - the stock has mild downward pressure which may continue short-term.

Is ALMS outperforming or underperforming the market?

ALMS (-2.17%) is currently significantly underperforming the market (-2.4% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is up 0.18%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is up 0.31%.

What does MACD indicate for ALMS?

ALMS's MACD (-3.12) is currently above the signal line (-3.62), indicating a bullish trend. This technical signal suggests buying pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 59.7) is strong.

Is ALMS in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, ALMS is in a bearish trend. The price ($7.23) is trading below both the 20-day SMA ($8.5) and 50-day SMA ($18.14). This alignment typically indicates sustained downward pressure.

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