BBAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBAR - Banco BBVA Argentina S.A.
$14.05
-0.03 (-0.21%)
▼
5d:
-8.41%
30d:
-25.5%
90d:
-13.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BBAR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BBAR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.53
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.34
23.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBAR is currently trading at $14.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.08 to $19.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBAR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BBAR scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.00 (+77.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBAR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BBAR scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.00 (+77.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$16.08 -
$19.97
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 77.9% below Wall St target ($25.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.08 -
$19.97
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.93
Resistance Level
$17.97
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.78
Wall Street Target
$25.00
(+77.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-24.6%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 13.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.68
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$13.33
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$12.98
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$14.01
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 180.4%)
$74.44
(+430%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 180.4%)
$47.42
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 180.4%)
$40.31
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.93
Bull Case
$18.30
(+30%)
Analyst growth 18.2%, PE expands to 16.7
Base Case
$16.64
(+18%)
Market implied 18.2%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case
$9.57
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.8 to 13.8
Stabilization Target:
$15.17
(+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 10:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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