Banco BBVA Argentina (BBAR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBAR - Banco BBVA Argentina S.A.
$12.43
-0.42 (-3.27%)
▼
5d:
-7.86%
30d:
-17.74%
90d:
-36.09%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 24, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BBAR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BBAR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.21
31.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBAR is currently trading at $12.43, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.45 to $15.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (13.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 71.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBAR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: BBAR scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.50 (+97.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBAR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: BBAR scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.50 (+97.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$13.45 -
$15.20
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 97.1% below Wall St target ($24.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.45 -
$15.20
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.06
Resistance Level
$14.69
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.31
Wall Street Target
$24.50
(+97.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
71.3%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 13.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.66
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$10.94
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$10.26
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$12.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 180.4%)
$75.67
(+509%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 180.4%)
$41.95
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 180.4%)
$35.66
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.10
Bull Case
$14.12
(+14%)
Analyst growth -0.1%, PE expands to 12.9
Base Case
$12.84
(+3%)
Market implied -0.1%, PE stable at 11.7
Bear Case
$8.74
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 13.7
Stabilization Target:
$15.06
(+21.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 6:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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