First Horizon (FHN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FHN - First Horizon Corporation
$23.46
-0.09 (-0.36%)
▼
5d:
+2.51%
30d:
+1.19%
90d:
-7.95%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 15, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 22, 2026 at $23.54 · last confirmed Oct 23, 2026
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FHN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FHN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.45
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FHN is currently trading at $23.45, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.87 to $23.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FHN scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.04 (+14.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FHN scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.04 (+14.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$22.87 -
$23.78
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($27.04)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 71/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.87 -
$23.78
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.25
Resistance Level
$23.62
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.12
Wall Street Target
$27.04
(+14.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-51.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.0%
Profit Margin
23.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.16
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$22.79
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$22.43
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$23.50
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.6%)
$59.14
(+151%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 8.6%)
$30.13
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 8.6%)
$25.61
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.39
Bull Case
$42.71
(+82%)
Analyst growth 67.4%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$38.83
(+65%)
Market implied 67.4%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$15.78
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$24.66
(+4.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FHN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced FHN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FHN price and gamma walls.
