BGC Earnings Date & Options Strategy

BGC Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock

$12.17

November 05, 2026
53 days away

Last Updated: September 12, 2026

Expected Move for November 05, 2026 Earnings

±22.8% (±$2.78)
Implied Price Range $9.39 – $14.95
Through Expiration November 20, 2026
Near-ATM Implied Volatility 53%
30-Day Historical Volatility 37% (options pricing 1.44x normal move)

Derived from implied volatility on BGC options expiring November 20, 2026 (first expiration after the earnings report), at a $12.17 stock price. The market expects BGC to trade between $9.39 and $14.95 through that expiry — roughly a one-standard-deviation range, meaning about a 68% probability if options are priced fairly.

Options IV Analysis

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Earnings Estimates

EPS Estimate (Current Qtr) $0.28
EPS Estimate (FY) $1.17
Earnings Growth (YoY) +0.9%
Revenue Growth (YoY) +0.3%

How to Trade Earnings with Options

Buy Options Strategy

Buy options when IV percentile is below 30. This means options are cheap relative to their historical pricing. As earnings approach, IV typically rises (IV expansion), increasing the value of your options even before earnings.

Sell Premium Strategy

Sell options when IV percentile is above 70. After earnings, IV crashes (IV crush), which benefits option sellers. Iron condors and credit spreads profit from this IV collapse.

Timing Tips

  • 2-3 weeks before: Best time to buy options if IV is low
  • 1 week before: IV starts rising, still okay to buy if IV < 50th percentile
  • Day of earnings: IV at peak - avoid buying, consider selling
  • After earnings: IV crushes 30-50%, sellers profit

Tradestie AI Rating

41.0
Hold
Evaluate position
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Gamma Positioning

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Analyst Ratings

STRONG BUY

2 analysts

Price Target $14.50
1
1
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell

Company Info

Company BGC Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Sector Financial Services
Industry Capital Markets