BGC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BGC - BGC Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$12.37
0.29 (2.36%)
▲
5d:
+4.79%
30d:
+11.1%
90d:
+28.94%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BGC is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BGC is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.25
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BGC is currently trading at $12.37, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.56 to $11.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.5) compared to its historical average (6.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BGC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.50 (+28.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BGC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.50 (+28.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.56 -
$11.69
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
BGC is technically overbought (RSI 70). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.8% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.3% below Wall St target ($15.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.56 -
$11.69
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.74
Resistance Level
$12.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.48
Wall Street Target
$15.50
(+28.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
44.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
54.8%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.3% premium
PE vs Historical
7.5 vs 6.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.60
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$13.14
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$13.71
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.09
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.7%)
$51.75
(+328%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: 13.7%)
$17.77
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: 13.7%)
$15.11
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.37
Bull Case
$26.51
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.8
Base Case
$24.10
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.6
Bear Case
$8.19
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jean-Pierre Aubin
SELL
10000 shares
2026-03-05
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BGC price and gamma walls.
