BGC BGC Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock SECURITY & COMMODITY BROKERS, DEALERS, EXCHANGES & SERVICES Best Securities Brokers Stocks 2026 →

BGC Group (BGC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$11.20
+0.13 (+1.13%) ▲
5d: -0.67% 30d: -3.82% 90d: +2.33%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
61/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$11.04 – $11.80
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
6.9x FAIR
vs 6.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$16.00
+44.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$10.26 / $11.91
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BGC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.86
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.85
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BGC is currently trading at $11.20, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.04 to $11.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.9) is in line with its historical norms (6.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BGC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.26, while resistance sits at $11.91.

Market Sentiment: BGC scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+44.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $11.04 - $11.80
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 91.4%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $11.04 - $11.80
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level $10.26
Resistance Level $11.91
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 44.5% below Wall St target ($16.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 72/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.92
Wall Street Target $16.00 (+44.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 157.9%
Profit Margin 7.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.3% premium
PE vs Historical 6.9 vs 6.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.10 (+0%)
2-Year Target $11.14 (+1%)
3-Year Target $11.17 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→7) PE COMPRESSION $11.14 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.1%) $43.59 (+294%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.9, Growth: 11.1%) $15.19 (+37%)
Bear: (PE: 5.9, Growth: 11.1%) $12.91 (+17%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.49
Bull Case $24.13 (+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.6
Base Case $21.94 (+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.4
Bear Case $7.46 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BGC)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: A bullish trader on StockTwits expresses confidence in $BGC due to doubling revenues and undercutting competitors like CME group.
Key Retail Themes: revenue growth competitive advantage
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 1:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:05 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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