BGC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BGC - BGC Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$11.52
-0.16 (-1.37%)
▼
5d:
-1.12%
30d:
+5.98%
90d:
+2.58%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When BGC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BGC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BGC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.72
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BGC is currently trading at $11.52, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.85 to $11.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.3) is in line with its historical norms (6.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.12, while resistance sits at $12.07.
Market Sentiment: BGC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.50 (+34.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.12, while resistance sits at $12.07.
Market Sentiment: BGC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.50 (+34.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$10.85 -
$11.93
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.5% below Wall St target ($15.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.85 -
$11.93
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.12
Resistance Level
$12.07
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.27
Wall Street Target
$15.50
(+34.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
44.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
54.8%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 6.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.84
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$12.17
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$12.52
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.54
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 12.4%)
$46.67
(+305%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 12.4%)
$16.36
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: 12.4%)
$13.91
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.37
Bull Case
$25.70
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.7
Base Case
$23.36
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.6
Bear Case
$7.94
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 3:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:21 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jean-Pierre Aubin
SELL
10000 shares
2026-03-05
Top Rated Capital Markets Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Capital Markets by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
SCHW
Charles Schwab Corp |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$124 | 55 HOLD |
|
FUTU
Futu Holdings Ltd |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$156 | 55 HOLD |
|
RIOT
Riot Platforms, Inc. |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$30 | 59 HOLD |
|
HUT
Hut 8 Corp. Common Stock |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$159 | 55 HOLD |
|
HOOD
Robinhood Markets Inc |
BUY
21 analysts |
$120 | 54 HOLD |
Advanced BGC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BGC price and gamma walls.
