GOLD Earnings Date & Options Strategy
GOLD
$48.22
Last Updated: September 12, 2026
Expected Move for November 05, 2026 Earnings
Derived from implied volatility on GOLD options expiring November 20, 2026 (first expiration after the earnings report), at a $48.22 stock price. The market expects GOLD to trade between $36.08 and $60.36 through that expiry — roughly a one-standard-deviation range, meaning about a 68% probability if options are priced fairly.
Options IV Analysis
How to Trade Earnings with Options
Buy Options Strategy
Buy options when IV percentile is below 30. This means options are cheap relative to their historical pricing. As earnings approach, IV typically rises (IV expansion), increasing the value of your options even before earnings.
Sell Premium Strategy
Sell options when IV percentile is above 70. After earnings, IV crashes (IV crush), which benefits option sellers. Iron condors and credit spreads profit from this IV collapse.
Timing Tips
- 2-3 weeks before: Best time to buy options if IV is low
- 1 week before: IV starts rising, still okay to buy if IV < 50th percentile
- Day of earnings: IV at peak - avoid buying, consider selling
- After earnings: IV crushes 30-50%, sellers profit