HighPeak Energy (HPK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$6.82
+0.06 (+0.89%)
▲
5d:
-20.97%
30d:
-29.76%
90d:
-5.41%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (58%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$7.89 – $10.96
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
52.5x
FAIR
vs 48.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$10.00
+46.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$5.97 / $11.09
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: HPK is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 29, 2026 at $10.45 · last confirmed Nov 5, 2026
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HPK is currently trading at $6.82, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.89 to $10.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 52.5) is in line with its historical norms (48.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.97, while resistance sits at $11.09.
Market Sentiment: HPK scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.00 (+46.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.97, while resistance sits at $11.09.
Market Sentiment: HPK scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.00 (+46.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$7.89 -
$10.96
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$7.89 -
$10.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$5.97
Resistance Level
$11.09
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.6% below Wall St target ($10.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-21.0%) - monitor closely
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
52.46
Wall Street Target
$10.00
(+46.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
215.2%
Profit Margin
-10.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
52.5 vs 48.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.00
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$7.19
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$7.39
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 52→48)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.82
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 52.5, Growth: 52.9%)
$23.02
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 52.9%)
$8.71
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 52.9%)
$7.41
(+9%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HPK)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 19, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits user expresses positivity towards small-cap stocks $HPK and $MRNO, with limited access to a free community. No recent news articles were found.
Key Retail Themes:
positivity towards small-cap stocks $HPK and $MRNO
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 1:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HPK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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