KEY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KEY - KeyCorp
$20.88
-0.30 (-1.42%)
▼
5d:
-2.88%
30d:
-3.6%
90d:
+0.82%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.5/10
Get Alerted When KEY Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KEY shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KEY shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.32
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.17
9.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KEY is currently trading at $20.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.07 to $21.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 33.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.03 (+19.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.03 (+19.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$21.07 -
$21.85
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($25.03)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.07 -
$21.85
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.58
Resistance Level
$21.87
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.68
Wall Street Target
$25.03
(+19.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.3%
Profit Margin
27.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.46
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$20.05
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$19.65
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$20.90
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 18.1%)
$77.85
(+273%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 18.1%)
$34.41
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 18.1%)
$29.25
(+40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.61
Bull Case
$31.67
(+48%)
Analyst growth 33.9%, PE expands to 14.7
Base Case
$28.79
(+35%)
Market implied 33.9%, PE stable at 13.4
Bear Case
$14.62
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$22.21
(+6.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is KEY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-12
Andrew J Paine III
SELL
65961 shares
2026-02-06
Top Rated Banks - Regional Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Regional by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
USB
U.S. Bancorp |
BUY
24 analysts |
$64 | 55 HOLD |
|
PNC
PNC Financial Services G… |
BUY
23 analysts |
$255 | 59 HOLD |
|
WBS
Webster Financial Corpor… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$74 | 59 HOLD |
|
NU
Nu Holdings Ltd |
BUY
20 analysts |
$19 | 52 HOLD |
|
WTFC
Wintrust Financial Corpo… |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$175 | 54 HOLD |
Advanced KEY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KEY price and gamma walls.
