KEY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KEY - KeyCorp
$22.74
0.14 (0.64%)
▲
5d:
+1.0%
30d:
-1.24%
90d:
+3.96%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KEY shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KEY shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.48
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KEY is currently trading at $22.73, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.66 to $23.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (10.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.02 (+15.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.02 (+15.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$22.66 -
$23.45
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($26.02)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.66 -
$23.45
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.13
Resistance Level
$23.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.56
Wall Street Target
$26.02
(+15.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.3%
Profit Margin
27.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 10.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.75
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$22.91
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$23.07
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.71
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 17.0%)
$71.09
(+215%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 17.0%)
$36.23
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 17.0%)
$30.79
(+36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.74
Bull Case
$30.57
(+35%)
Analyst growth 22.9%, PE expands to 14.3
Base Case
$27.79
(+23%)
Market implied 22.9%, PE stable at 13.0
Bear Case
$15.37
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KEY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-12
Andrew J Paine III
SELL
65961 shares
2026-02-06
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