KeyCorp (KEY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$21.33
-0.11 (-0.51%)
âŧ
5d:
+1.77%
30d:
+7.78%
90d:
-8.49%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Jan 20, 2027
Protect KEY Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (63%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$20.13 â $21.37
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.8x
FAIR
vs 10.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$25.13
+17.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$20.73 / $22.12
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: KEY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $20.89 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 4.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.05
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.76
2.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KEY is currently trading at $21.33, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.13 to $21.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.13 (+17.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.13 (+17.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$20.13 -
$21.37
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$20.13 -
$21.37
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$20.73
Resistance Level
$22.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding KEY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($25.13)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.81
Wall Street Target
$25.13
(+17.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.4%
Profit Margin
28.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 10.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.05
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$20.78
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$20.51
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â10)
$21.33
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.3%)
$66.27
(+211%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 15.3%)
$32.72
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 15.3%)
$27.82
(+30%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.83
Bull Case
$28.03
(+31%)
Analyst growth 18.9%, PE expands to 12.9
Base Case
$25.48
(+20%)
Market implied 18.9%, PE stable at 11.7
Bear Case
$14.58
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 10.2
Stabilization Target:
$22.19
(+4.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (KEY)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Trader with a large following expresses a bullish outlook on $KEY, along with mention of $HBAN and $VLY, suggesting potential relief in these stocks as well as the bond market.
Key Retail Themes:
stock market relief
bond market sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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