MGP Ingredients (MGPI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGPI - MGP Ingredients Inc
$14.88
-0.25 (-1.65%)
▼
5d:
+1.92%
30d:
+10.22%
90d:
-15.69%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
5d
Get Alerted When MGPI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MGPI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MGPI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.42
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.65
15.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGPI is currently trading at $14.88, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.99 to $14.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.7) compared to its historical average (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGPI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.00, while resistance sits at $15.72.
Market Sentiment: MGPI scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.40 (+77.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGPI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.00, while resistance sits at $15.72.
Market Sentiment: MGPI scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.40 (+77.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.99 -
$14.73
Company Quality Score
27/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 77.4% below Wall St target ($26.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 27/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.99 -
$14.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.00
Resistance Level
$15.72
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.65
Wall Street Target
$26.40
(+77.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.7%
Profit Margin
-48.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 8.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.26
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$13.66
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$13.08
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$14.87
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.1%)
$63.60
(+327%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 18.1%)
$24.51
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 18.1%)
$20.84
(+40%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.7 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$16.91
(+13.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 6:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:29 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MGPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
DEO
Diageo PLC ADR |
BUY
8 analysts |
$106 | 32 SELL |
