NIQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NIQ - NIQ Global Intelligence plc
$8.22
-0.21 (-2.49%)
▼
5d:
-2.61%
30d:
-21.49%
90d:
-36.62%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NIQ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NIQ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.99
Based on 13.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.03
36.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NIQ is currently trading at $8.22, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.38 to $10.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.8) compared to its historical average (9.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NIQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.85 (+80.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NIQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.85 (+80.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.38 -
$10.69
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 80.6% below Wall St target ($14.85)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.38 -
$10.69
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.05
Resistance Level
$9.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.80
Wall Street Target
$14.85
(+80.6%)
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.8 vs 9.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.43
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.72
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$6.07
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$8.22
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 23.5%)
$49.88
(+507%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 23.5%)
$15.47
(+88%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: 23.5%)
$13.15
(+60%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.8 to 9.2
Stabilization Target:
$11.12
(+35.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NIQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL