NIQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NIQ - NIQ Global Intelligence plc
$18.96
0.18 (0.96%)
▲
5d:
+9.91%
30d:
+76.37%
90d:
+121.75%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: NIQ is 18.3% above its trading range ($16.03). Market expects 17.9% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: NIQ is 18.3% above its trading range ($16.03). Market expects 17.9% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.88
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NIQ is currently trading at $18.96, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.18 to $16.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.7) compared to its historical average (9.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 17.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NIQ is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NIQ scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NIQ is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NIQ scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.18 -
$16.03
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
11.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+18.3% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($17.46)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 17.9% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.18 -
$16.03
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.50
Resistance Level
$18.88
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.68
Wall Street Target
$17.46
(-7.0%)
Valuation Premium vs History
+17.9% premium
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 9.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+17.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.14
(+18%)
2-Year Target
$26.10
(+39%)
3-Year Target
$30.78
(+64%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.87
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 17.0%)
$41.12
(+119%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 17.0%)
$30.08
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 17.0%)
$18.44
(-2%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 10:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:06 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is NIQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL