NIQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NIQ - NIQ Global Intelligence plc
$8.24
0.15 (1.85%)
▲
5d:
-1.67%
30d:
-3.63%
90d:
-22.04%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NIQ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NIQ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.08
Based on 13.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.47
33.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NIQ is currently trading at $8.24, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.17 to $8.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.7) compared to its historical average (8.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NIQ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.93, while resistance sits at $8.96.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.62 (+80.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NIQ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.93, while resistance sits at $8.96.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.62 (+80.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$8.17 -
$8.60
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 80.7% below Wall St target ($14.62)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.17 -
$8.60
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.93
Resistance Level
$8.96
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.69
Wall Street Target
$14.62
(+80.7%)
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 8.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.37
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$6.71
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$6.12
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$8.05
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 23.5%)
$49.58
(+513%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: 23.5%)
$15.23
(+88%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: 23.5%)
$12.95
(+60%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.7 to 8.8
Stabilization Target:
$10.64
(+31.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 10:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NIQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL