NIQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NIQ - NIQ Global Intelligence plc
$11.01
-0.06 (-0.59%)
▼
5d:
+0.05%
30d:
+34.87%
90d:
+3.82%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: NIQ is 8.2% above its trading range ($10.17). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: NIQ is 8.2% above its trading range ($10.17). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.03
Based on 13.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.43
11.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NIQ is currently trading at $11.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.92 to $10.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (8.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NIQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NIQ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.46 (+30.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NIQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NIQ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.46 (+30.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$7.92 -
$10.17
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.2% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.6% below Wall St target ($14.46)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.92 -
$10.17
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.93
Resistance Level
$8.96
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.11
Wall Street Target
$14.46
(+30.6%)
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 8.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.24
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$11.40
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$11.58
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.05
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 23.7%)
$50.09
(+353%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 23.7%)
$20.96
(+89%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 23.7%)
$17.81
(+61%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 11:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NIQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL