New York Times (NYT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NYT - New York Times Co.

NEWSPAPERS: PUBLISHING OR PUBLISHING & PRINTING
$70.34
3.46 (5.17%) ▲
5d: +4.55%
30d: +9.68%
90d: -4.14%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NYT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$105.69
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.63
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NYT is currently trading at $70.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.70 to $68.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.5) is in line with its historical norms (24.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NYT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $70.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.67 (+10.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $64.70 - $68.12
Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.3%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($77.67)
  • WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $64.70 - $68.12
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $65.73
Resistance Level $70.50
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.52
Wall Street Target $77.67 (+10.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 14.0%
Profit Margin 13.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 22.5 vs 24.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $68.30 (-3%)
2-Year Target $66.32 (-6%)
3-Year Target $64.40 (-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→25) $70.35 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.5, Growth: 9.2%) $91.64 (+30%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 9.2%) $82.16 (+17%)
Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: 9.2%) $69.83 (-1%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.40
Bull Case $95.75 (+36%)
Analyst growth 30.1%, PE expands to 30.7
Base Case $87.04 (+24%)
Market implied 30.1%, PE stable at 27.9
Bear Case $45.48 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.5 to 24.6
Stabilization Target: $76.84 (+9.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +9.2%
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Last updated: September 15, 2026 12:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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