Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NYT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.55
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.8x Exit PE.
Valuation Analysis: NYT is currently trading at $67.49, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.75 to $74.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.6) compared to its historical average (24.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NYT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $67.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NYT scores 80/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.67 (+15.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$64.75 -
$74.85
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (80/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($77.67)
BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 80/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$64.75 -
$74.85
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level$63.15
Resistance Level$67.59
Current TrendStrong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)21.61
Wall Street Target
$77.67
(+15.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)14.0%
Profit Margin13.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.6 vs 24.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.45
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$61.55
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$58.78
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→25)
$67.47
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.6, Growth: 9.2%)
$87.92
(+30%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.2%)
$81.59
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.0, Growth: 9.2%)
$69.35
(+3%)
📈Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.40
Bull Case
$94.04
(+39%)
Analyst growth 30.1%, PE expands to 30.1
Base Case
$85.49
(+27%)
Market implied 30.1%, PE stable at 27.4
Bear Case
$44.67
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.6 to 24.8
Stabilization Target:
$77.46
(+14.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.8%
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New York Times Co is an American media company known for publishing its flagship newspaper, The New York Times. The company also operates the International New York Times newspaper, as well as digital properties such as NYTimes and various smartphone applications. The company has two segments: New York Times Group and The Athletic. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the NYTG segment. The NYTG and The Athletic segments derive revenue from subscriptions, Advertising, and others, where the majority source of revenue for both segments is subscription.