Why is RCAT Down Today?

RCAT
$6.33
▼ -2.09% ($-0.13)
Last updated: Oct 01, 2026 7:38 PM ET (662 min ago)

About Red Cat Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

Red Cat Holdings Inc is a drone technology company integrating robotic hardware and software for military, government, and commercial operations. Red Cat's suite of solutions includes the Arachnid family of ISR and precision strike drones, which includes the Black Widow, a small unmanned ISR system;...

Sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
Market Cap: $1.24B
Forward P/E: -354.5
52-Week Range: $5.77 - $18.78
Employees: 115

Overall Confidence: 60%

60% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

SYMPATHY 60% Confidence
🎯 Outperforming sector by 5.6%
This stock is significantly underperforming its SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE sector peers, suggesting a stock-specific catalyst.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 0.4x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE sector: +3.6%

RCAT is outperforming its sector by -5.6%. This suggests a stock-specific catalyst.

Market Comparison

RCAT is significantly underperforming the market (-2.3% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
+0.18%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
+0.31%
RCAT
This Stock
-2.09%
vs S&P 500: -2.27%
vs Nasdaq: -2.4%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, RCAT is expected to trade between:
$6.14 - $6.45

Key Level to Watch

$6.01 support
Watch for breakdown below $6.33

🔔 Get RCAT Alerts

We'll notify you when RCAT's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Oct 01, 2026 7:38 PM (662 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Options Market Insight

Neutral
Options Sentiment
0.78
Put/Call Ratio
115.5%
Implied Volatility
Call Volume: 22,893
Put Volume: 17,751
Total: 40,644
Unusual Activity: $7 CALL (5,896 vol) $7 PUT (5,635 vol) $7 PUT (5,581 vol)

Historical Context

RCAT has moved more than 3.0% down on 85 occasions in the past year.

51.8%
Continuation Rate
44/85 times continued down
+0.01%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar down moves
Last similar move: Sep 23, 2026 (-5.0%) → Next day: +3.2%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is RCAT stock down today?

This stock is significantly underperforming its SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE sector peers, suggesting a stock-specific catalyst.

Is RCAT stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, RCAT shows 60% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the RCAT stock price target?

RCAT is currently trading at $6.33. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $6.14 - $6.45. See long-term price prediction →

Will RCAT stock continue falling?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that RCAT's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $6.01 (support).

Is RCAT stock oversold or overbought?

RCAT's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 30.6. This shows bearish momentum - the stock has negative momentum but isn't oversold yet.

What is the momentum for RCAT stock?

RCAT's 10-day momentum indicator is at -0.77. Negative momentum - the stock has mild downward pressure which may continue short-term.

Is RCAT outperforming or underperforming the market?

RCAT (-2.09%) is currently significantly underperforming the market (-2.3% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is up 0.18%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is up 0.31%.

What does MACD indicate for RCAT?

RCAT's MACD (-0.63) is currently below the signal line (-0.59), indicating a bearish trend. This technical signal suggests selling pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 29.8) is strong.

Is RCAT in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, RCAT is in a bearish trend. The price ($6.33) is trading below both the 20-day SMA ($7.31) and 50-day SMA ($8.29). This alignment typically indicates sustained downward pressure.

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