Snowflake (SNOW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SNOW - Snowflake Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$328.99
-0.73 (-0.22%) â–ŧ
5d: -7.71%
30d: -0.98%
90d: +36.86%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 02, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 28, 2026 at $327.26 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: SNOW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 12.5% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.07
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.10
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SNOW is currently trading at $328.99, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $316.86 to $336.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 203.0) compared to its historical average (142.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SNOW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $303.89, while resistance sits at $384.56.

Market Sentiment: SNOW scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $413.29 (+25.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $316.86 - $336.73
Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 49.0%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 25.3% below Wall St target ($413.29)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 12.5% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $316.86 - $336.73
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $303.89
Resistance Level $384.56
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 203.00
Wall Street Target $413.29 (+25.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 35.1%
Profit Margin -20.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +12.5% premium
PE vs Historical 203.0 vs 142.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +12.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $370.94 (+13%)
2-Year Target $417.30 (+27%)
3-Year Target $469.46 (+42%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 203→142) PE COMPRESSION $329.31 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 203.0, Growth: 34.9%) $809.84 (+146%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 34.9%) $80.46 (-76%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 34.9%) $68.39 (-79%)
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Last updated: September 11, 2026 4:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
đŸ”Ĩ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael L Speiser SELL 50338 shares 2026-04-06
Michael L Speiser SELL 403 shares 2026-04-06
Vivek Raghunathan SELL 3876 shares 2026-04-01

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Advanced SNOW Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SNOW price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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