SNOW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SNOW - Snowflake Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$332.78
11.49 (3.58%) ▲
5d: +1.17%
30d: +25.52%
90d: +101.03%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 02, 2026 10d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $330.49 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026

Strength: 8.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SNOW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.07
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.10
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SNOW is currently trading at $332.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $273.23 to $327.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 204.9) compared to its historical average (138.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SNOW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $341.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: SNOW scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $273.23 - $327.54
Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 27.6%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($321.35)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 14.0% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $273.23 - $327.54
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $314.20
Resistance Level $341.95
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 204.89
Wall Street Target $321.35 (-3.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 33.5%
Profit Margin -23.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +14.0% premium
PE vs Historical 204.9 vs 138.2 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +14.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $379.37 (+14%)
2-Year Target $432.48 (+30%)
3-Year Target $493.03 (+48%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 205→138) PE COMPRESSION $332.55 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 204.9, Growth: 34.9%) $817.36 (+146%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 34.9%) $80.06 (-76%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 34.9%) $68.06 (-80%)
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 9:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:50 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael L Speiser SELL 50338 shares 2026-04-06
Michael L Speiser SELL 403 shares 2026-04-06
Vivek Raghunathan SELL 3876 shares 2026-04-01

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Advanced SNOW Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SNOW price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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