What is the fair value of SNOW stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for SNOW to be between $321.56 and $340.33. The current price is $341.99.

What is the analyst price target for SNOW?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for SNOW is $425.14. This implies a potential upside of 24.3% from current levels.

Snowflake (SNOW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SNOW - Snowflake Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$341.99

2.43 (0.72%) ▲

5d: +2.39%

30d: +6.94%

90d: +31.46%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your SNOW Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Sep 02, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 1, 2026 at $339.89 · last confirmed Oct 1, 2026

Strength: 6.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SNOW trades at premium valuation expecting 12.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$79.07

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$49.10

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SNOW is currently trading at $341.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $321.56 to $340.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 210.6) compared to its historical average (147.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SNOW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $348.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $425.14 (+24.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $321.56 - $340.33

Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 50.0%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 24.3% below Wall St target ($425.14)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 12.7% growth which is achievable
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (57/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $321.56 - $340.33

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $316.63

Resistance Level $348.61

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 210.56

Wall Street Target $425.14 (+24.3%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 35.1%

Profit Margin -20.1%

Valuation Premium vs History +12.7% premium

PE vs Historical 210.6 vs 147.2 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +12.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $385.42 (+13%)

2-Year Target $434.37 (+27%)

3-Year Target $489.54 (+43%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 211→147) PE COMPRESSION $342.23 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 210.6, Growth: 34.9%) $839.98 (+146%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 34.9%) $81.38 (-76%)

Bear: (PE: 17.3, Growth: 34.9%) $69.17 (-80%)

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Last updated: October 01, 2026 7:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:04 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Michael L Speiser SELL 50338 shares 2026-04-06

Michael L Speiser SELL 403 shares 2026-04-06

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Advanced SNOW Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SNOW price and gamma walls.

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