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TPB Stock Price Prediction 2026

Turning Point Brands, Inc.

$86.24
+$3.79 (+4.6%)

AI-powered price predictions based on fundamental analysis and growth projections

Last Updated: June 3, 2026

TPB Price Forecast 2026: Our AI models project that TPB stock will fall to approximately $86.08 by 2026. This represents a potential 0.2% contraction from the current trading price of $86.24. The overall market sentiment for TPB is currently neutral, based on a combination of proprietary technical signals and fundamental analysis.

Fundamental Analysis: Trading at a P/E ratio of 28.1, with its most recent quarterly earnings growing by -0.2%. TPB shows a complex fundamental profile. Our model evaluates these metrics alongside sector peers and historical performance to derive the 2026 price target. If the company exceeds its current growth projections, there may be further upside beyond our base case scenario.

Technical Outlook: The stock is technically in a downtrend phase. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently 42.5, which suggests the stock is trading in a neutral range. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels closely, as a breakout or breakdown from current price consolidation will be the primary catalyst for the stock reaching the 2026 predicted target.

🎯
AI TRADING RECOMMENDATION
Evaluate position
Key Signals:
  • MACD converging near zero line - potential energy building
  • Volume showing distribution (CMF: -0.0539)
MACD: Converging | Volume: Distribution
Fair Value Estimate
+28.1% Undervalued
Fair Value: $110.50 (Current: $86.24)

Based on PEG ratio analysis, this stock appears undervalued at current levels. The fair value estimate suggests 28.1% upside potential.

PEG Ratio
1.15
Fair
Forward P/E
58.48
Fair P/E
74.93
Earnings Growth
50.7%
📉

Volume Trend: Distribution

Selling Pressure Present - Distribution pattern observed

Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): -0.054
Money Flow Index (MFI): 36.5

Negative CMF indicates money flowing out of the stock. Exercise caution as this may signal distribution.

Options Analysis: 1-Year Target Strategy

Score: 7/100

Analysis comparing options pricing vs AI growth projections. This helps identify if options are cheap (buy calls) or expensive (sell premium).

STRONG SELL SIGNAL - Massively overpriced, excellent premium selling opportunity
Growth Target (1Y)
$143.92
+6.2% upside
Best Strike Found
$140.00
Exp: Dec. 18, 2026, midnight
Call Premium
$20.25
14.9% of stock price
Breakeven Price
$160.25
⚠ Above target
Implied Probability
55.2%
Market's confidence
Value Score
-80.6
Overpriced
💰
STRONG SELL
Options are overpriced - Sell premium opportunity
Seller's Advantage:
Premium Collected
$20.25
Profit if Target Hits
$16.33
ROI if Target Hits
+80.6%
Why This Works: Buyers lose 80.6% even if target hits. Premium is overpriced for 6.2% move.
Suggested Strategies: Covered Call (safest) Naked Call (risky) Credit Spread (defined risk)
Open Interest: 270 | Volume: 270
Data as of: Feb 20, 2026
How to Use This Analysis: Value Score shows profitability if the 1-year growth target is reached. Positive score = profitable for buyers. Negative score = profit opportunity for premium sellers (covered calls, credit spreads).
Price Targets by Timeframe
AI-based growth projections (not Wall Street analyst targets)
Timeframe Target Price Potential Return
30 Days $86.23 +-0.0%
90 Days $86.20 +-0.0%
6 Months $86.16 -0.1%
1 Year $86.08 -0.2%
2 Years EXTENDED $89.87 +4.2%
3 Years EXTENDED $93.82 +8.8%

More TPB Analysis

Why is TPB Moving? Buy or Sell TPB? TPB Full Analysis TPB Trendline Analysis
TPB Price Prediction Trendline

Scenario Analysis (1-Year Outlook)

Bull Case
30% Probability
$107.60 (+24.8%)

Best case scenario if strong fundamentals and market conditions align

Base Case
50% Probability
$86.08 (+-0.2%)

Expected scenario based on current growth trajectory

Bear Case
20% Probability
$60.26 (-30.1%)

Downside scenario if market headwinds or disappointing results

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)
42.5
Neutral
MACD Signal
Bearish
Trend
Downtrend
Money Flow (CMF)
-0.05

Key Fundamentals

P/E Ratio
28.11
Forward P/E
58.48
P/S Ratio (TTM)
3.31x
Fair
Revenue Growth (QoQ)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (QoQ)
-0.2%
Market Cap
$1,589M
Analyst Target
$130.00
52-Week High
$86.24
52-Week Low
$80.99

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the TPB stock price prediction for 2026?

Based on our AI analysis, TPB is predicted to reach $86.08 by 2026, representing a potential 0.2% decrease from the current price of $86.24.

Is TPB stock a good buy right now?

Our analysis suggests TPB is a "HOLD" based on current technical and fundamental indicators. With a projected 0.2% downside, investors should consider their risk tolerance and investment horizon.

What is TPB 52-week high and low?

TPB has a 52-week high of $86.24 and a 52-week low of $80.99. The stock is currently trading 0.0% below its 52-week high.

What is the technical analysis for TPB?

TPB is currently in a downtrend trend. The RSI of 42.5 indicates the stock is trading in neutral territory. Traders should monitor support and resistance levels for potential entry points.

Where will TPB stock be in 3 years?

Our long-term projection estimates TPB could reach $93.82 by 2028, representing a 8.8% gain from current levels. Long-term predictions carry more uncertainty.

Investment Disclaimer: These price predictions are generated using AI models and historical data. They are not financial advice and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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