Why is UVXY Down Today?

UVXY
$16.93
▼ -3.12% ($-0.53)
Last updated: Oct 02, 2026 8:35 PM ET (144 min ago)

About ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF

Sector: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS
52-Week Range: $9.65 - $68.48

Overall Confidence: 50%

50% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

MOMENTUM 50% Confidence
🎯 UVXY showing strong bearish momentum
UVXY is down 3.1% today on 0.6x average volume. The move appears to be driven by general market sentiment and momentum traders.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 0.6x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS sector: -0.3%

UVXY is outperforming its sector by -2.8%. This suggests a stock-specific catalyst.

Market Comparison

UVXY is significantly underperforming the market (-3.9% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
+0.74%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
+1.02%
UVXY
This Stock
-3.12%
vs S&P 500: -3.86%
vs Nasdaq: -4.14%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, UVXY is expected to trade between:
$16.42 - $17.26

Key Level to Watch

$16.08 support
Watch for breakdown below $16.93

🔔 Get UVXY Alerts

We'll notify you when UVXY's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Oct 02, 2026 8:35 PM (144 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Options Market Insight

Bullish
Options Sentiment
0.25
Put/Call Ratio
113.3%
Implied Volatility
Call Volume: 76,415
Put Volume: 19,154
Total: 95,569
Unusual Activity: $16 CALL (8,706 vol) $16 CALL (7,153 vol) $17.5 CALL (3,470 vol)

Historical Context

UVXY has moved more than 3.0% down on 70 occasions in the past year.

42.9%
Continuation Rate
30/70 times continued down
+0.22%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar down moves
Last similar move: Sep 22, 2026 (-4.3%) → Next day: +2.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is UVXY stock down today?

UVXY is down 3.1% today on 0.6x average volume. The move appears to be driven by general market sentiment and momentum traders.

Is UVXY stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, UVXY shows 50% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the UVXY stock price target?

UVXY is currently trading at $16.93. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $16.42 - $17.26. See long-term price prediction →

Will UVXY stock continue falling?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that UVXY's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $16.08 (support).

Is UVXY stock oversold or overbought?

UVXY's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 39.6. This shows bearish momentum - the stock has negative momentum but isn't oversold yet.

What is the momentum for UVXY stock?

UVXY's 10-day momentum indicator is at -0.56. Negative momentum - the stock has mild downward pressure which may continue short-term.

Is UVXY outperforming or underperforming the market?

UVXY (-3.12%) is currently significantly underperforming the market (-3.9% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is up 0.74%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is up 1.02%.

What does MACD indicate for UVXY?

UVXY's MACD (-0.68) is currently above the signal line (-0.8), indicating a bullish trend. This technical signal suggests buying pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 18.4) is weak.

Is UVXY in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, UVXY is in a bearish trend. The price ($16.93) is trading below both the 20-day SMA ($17.6) and 50-day SMA ($19.64). This alignment typically indicates sustained downward pressure.

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