ABCB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABCB - Ameris Bancorp
$90.41
0.65 (0.72%)
▲
5d:
+0.32%
30d:
+5.01%
90d:
+8.2%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ABCB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ABCB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$108.67
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABCB is currently trading at $90.41, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.56 to $90.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABCB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $87.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABCB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $87.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$86.56 -
$90.45
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($94.17)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.56 -
$90.45
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$87.74
Resistance Level
$92.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.68
Wall Street Target
$94.17
(+4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.3%
Profit Margin
37.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 12.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.22
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$94.06
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$95.94
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$90.80
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.8%)
$183.84
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 5.8%)
$107.03
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 5.8%)
$90.98
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.48
Bull Case
$108.64
(+20%)
Analyst growth 10.0%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case
$98.76
(+9%)
Market implied 10.0%, PE stable at 13.9
Bear Case
$61.04
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Leo J Hill
SELL
2026-03-09
Douglas D Strange
SELL
1 shares
2026-02-24
Nicole S Stokes
SELL
1 shares
2026-02-24
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