ABCB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABCB - Ameris Bancorp
$86.20
0.08 (0.09%)
▲
5d:
-3.98%
30d:
-3.32%
90d:
+1.69%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ABCB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ABCB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$108.27
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABCB is currently trading at $86.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.92 to $90.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.3) is in line with its historical norms (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABCB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $85.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABCB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $85.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$86.92 -
$90.31
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($94.17)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with 3.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.92 -
$90.31
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.71
Resistance Level
$90.17
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.26
Wall Street Target
$94.17
(+9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-51.9%
Profit Margin
31.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 12.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$86.63
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$87.06
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$87.50
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$86.33
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 5.9%)
$167.63
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 5.9%)
$102.44
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 5.9%)
$87.07
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.53
Bull Case
$120.40
(+40%)
Analyst growth 27.1%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$109.46
(+27%)
Market implied 27.1%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$58.56
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 1:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Leo J Hill
SELL
2026-03-09
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