Ameris Bancorp (ABCB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABCB - Ameris Bancorp
$82.63
0.26 (0.32%)
▲
5d:
+3.65%
30d:
+1.03%
90d:
-3.96%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ABCB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ABCB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.87
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABCB is currently trading at $82.63, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.29 to $82.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.8) is in line with its historical norms (12.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABCB is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $83.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.17 (+12.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABCB is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $83.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.17 (+12.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$79.29 -
$82.42
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($93.17)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.29 -
$82.42
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.17
Resistance Level
$83.31
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.76
Wall Street Target
$93.17
(+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-51.9%
Profit Margin
31.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 12.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.05
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$81.48
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$80.91
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$82.57
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.1%)
$166.49
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 6.1%)
$98.58
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 6.1%)
$83.79
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.65
Bull Case
$112.69
(+36%)
Analyst growth 24.4%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$102.45
(+24%)
Market implied 24.4%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$56.01
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.8 to 12.0
Stabilization Target:
$84.33
(+2.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 25, 2026 10:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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