ABCB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABCB - Ameris Bancorp
$85.54
-0.41 (-0.48%)
▼
5d:
-3.02%
30d:
-0.58%
90d:
-0.2%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 25, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ABCB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ABCB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$108.27
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABCB is currently trading at $85.54, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.67 to $89.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABCB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $85.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.17 (+10.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABCB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $85.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.17 (+10.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$86.67 -
$89.83
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($94.17)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with 3.6% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (45/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.67 -
$89.83
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.27
Resistance Level
$90.17
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 25, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.17
Wall Street Target
$94.17
(+10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-51.9%
Profit Margin
31.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 12.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$85.80
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$86.05
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$86.31
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$85.81
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 5.9%)
$167.47
(+96%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 5.9%)
$101.65
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 5.9%)
$86.40
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.53
Bull Case
$120.52
(+40%)
Analyst growth 27.1%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$109.56
(+28%)
Market implied 27.1%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$58.62
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 25, 2026 5:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Leo J Hill
SELL
2026-03-09
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