Ameris Bancorp (ABCB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$82.85
+0.35 (+0.42%)
â˛
5d:
+1.3%
30d:
+3.9%
90d:
-6.95%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (63%)
Quality Score
37/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$79.70 â $83.19
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.9x
FAIR
vs 12.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$93.00
+12.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$81.07 / $86.16
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ABCB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$103.40
Based on 4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABCB is currently trading at $82.85, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.70 to $83.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.9) is in line with its historical norms (12.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABCB is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.00 (+12.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABCB is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.00 (+12.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$79.70 -
$83.19
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$79.70 -
$83.19
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$81.07
Resistance Level
$86.16
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($93.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.87
Wall Street Target
$93.00
(+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.3%
Profit Margin
32.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 12.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.60
(0%)
2-Year Target
$82.35
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$82.11
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â12)
$83.03
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.6%)
$158.89
(+92%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 4.6%)
$94.94
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 4.6%)
$80.70
(-3%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.72
Bull Case
$110.76
(+34%)
Analyst growth 22.1%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case
$100.69
(+22%)
Market implied 22.1%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case
$56.10
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 12.0
Stabilization Target:
$83.78
(+1.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ABCB)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jun 15, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish trader on StockTwits has identified a breakout in $ABCB stock, but there are currently no relevant news articles to consider.
Key Retail Themes:
stock price movement
trader sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 15, 2026 12:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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