AMAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMAL - Amalgamated Financial Corp. Common Stock (DE)
$46.46
-0.20 (-0.43%)
▼
5d:
+0.17%
30d:
+6.32%
90d:
+10.28%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMAL trades at premium valuation expecting 5.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: AMAL trades at premium valuation expecting 5.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.55
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMAL is currently trading at $46.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.50 to $46.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.3) compared to its historical average (8.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $44.46, while resistance sits at $47.89.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $44.46, while resistance sits at $47.89.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$43.50 -
$46.38
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($48.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.1% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.50 -
$46.38
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.46
Resistance Level
$47.89
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.32
Wall Street Target
$48.00
(+2.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Profit Margin
33.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.1% premium
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 8.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.04
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$51.54
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$54.17
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$46.70
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.3%)
$150.92
(+224%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 15.3%)
$71.53
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 15.3%)
$60.80
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.54
Bull Case
$65.06
(+39%)
Analyst growth 27.7%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$59.14
(+27%)
Market implied 27.7%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$31.50
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sean Searby
SELL
748 shares
2026-04-07
Sean Searby
SELL
4948 shares
2026-04-01
Tyrone Graham
SELL
501 shares
2026-03-04
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