AMAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMAL - Amalgamated Financial Corp. Common Stock (DE)
$48.19
0.35 (0.73%)
▲
5d:
+1.28%
30d:
+0.1%
90d:
+3.9%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMAL is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: AMAL is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.21
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMAL is currently trading at $48.19, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.13 to $48.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (9.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMAL scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.00 (+12.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMAL scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.00 (+12.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$47.13 -
$48.51
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($54.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 16% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.13 -
$48.51
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.23
Resistance Level
$48.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.36
Wall Street Target
$54.00
(+12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.9%
Profit Margin
34.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 9.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.92
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$51.72
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$53.58
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$48.12
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 15.2%)
$145.05
(+201%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 15.2%)
$73.64
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 15.2%)
$62.59
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.75
Bull Case
$65.30
(+36%)
Analyst growth 24.1%, PE expands to 14.0
Base Case
$59.36
(+23%)
Market implied 24.1%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$32.53
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sean Searby
SELL
748 shares
2026-04-07
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AMAL is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
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