AMAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AMAL - Amalgamated Financial Corp. Common Stock (DE)

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$47.87
-0.65 (-1.34%) ▼
5d: -2.39%
30d: -5.62%
90d: +8.55%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMAL is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.21
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.36
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMAL is currently trading at $47.87, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.17 to $50.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.3) compared to its historical average (9.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.00 (+12.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $48.17 - $50.22
Company Quality Score 65/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($54.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (59/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $48.17 - $50.22
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $47.06
Resistance Level $50.20
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.29
Wall Street Target $54.00 (+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 23.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 36.9%
Profit Margin 34.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.6% premium
PE vs Historical 10.3 vs 9.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $49.59 (+4%)
2-Year Target $51.38 (+7%)
3-Year Target $53.23 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→9) PE COMPRESSION $48.12 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.2%) $143.42 (+200%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 15.2%) $73.15 (+53%)
Bear: (PE: 8.7, Growth: 15.2%) $62.18 (+30%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.80
Bull Case $65.36 (+37%)
Analyst growth 22.5%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case $59.42 (+24%)
Market implied 22.5%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case $32.99 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:17 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sean Searby SELL 748 shares 2026-04-07
Sean Searby SELL 4948 shares 2026-04-01

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