AMAL Amalgamated Financial Corp. Common Stock (DE) STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS Best Banking Stocks 2026 →

AMAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$50.10
-0.10 (-0.20%) â–ŧ
5d: -1.42% 30d: +6.85% 90d: -1.92%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (64%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$47.18 – $50.65
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.7x FAIR
vs 9.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$56.00
+11.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$49.23 / $52.30
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: AMAL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.67
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.40
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMAL is currently trading at $50.10, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.18 to $50.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (9.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMAL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $49.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.00 (+11.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $47.18 - $50.65
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 63.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $47.18 - $50.65
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level $49.23
Resistance Level $52.30
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($56.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.74
Wall Street Target $56.00 (+11.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 22.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 36.4%
Profit Margin 35.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.3% premium
PE vs Historical 10.7 vs 9.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $52.25 (+4%)
2-Year Target $54.50 (+9%)
3-Year Target $56.84 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→10) PE COMPRESSION $50.30 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.1%) $134.03 (+168%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 13.1%) $72.45 (+45%)
Bear: (PE: 9.1, Growth: 13.1%) $61.59 (+23%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.07
Bull Case $63.32 (+26%)
Analyst growth 14.7%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case $57.56 (+15%)
Market implied 14.7%, PE stable at 12.3
Bear Case $34.14 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AMAL)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 23, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Amalgamated Financial Corp. reported record profitability for Q2 2026 with a net income of $34.8 million and net interest margin of 3.78%. Deposit and loan growth were also strong, increasing by $280.3 million and $114.9 million, respectively.
Key Retail Themes: Record profitability and margin expansion Strong deposit and loan growth
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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