AMAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMAL - Amalgamated Financial Corp. Common Stock (DE)
$48.76
-0.12 (-0.25%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.5%
30d:
+0.21%
90d:
+17.81%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AMAL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AMAL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.81
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMAL is currently trading at $48.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.09 to $50.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.5) compared to its historical average (9.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMAL is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $48.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AMAL scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMAL is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $48.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AMAL scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$48.09 -
$50.42
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($53.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.09 -
$50.42
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.35
Resistance Level
$51.59
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.47
Wall Street Target
$53.50
(+9.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.9%
Profit Margin
34.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.5% premium
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 9.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.95
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$53.25
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$55.64
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â9)
PE COMPRESSION
$48.87
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 15.4%)
$143.45
(+194%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 15.4%)
$74.87
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 15.4%)
$63.64
(+31%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.74
Bull Case
$66.92
(+37%)
Analyst growth 24.5%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$60.84
(+25%)
Market implied 24.5%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$33.24
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sean Searby
SELL
748 shares
2026-04-07
Sean Searby
SELL
4948 shares
2026-04-01
Tyrone Graham
SELL
501 shares
2026-03-04
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