AMAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMAL - Amalgamated Financial Corp. Common Stock (DE)
$50.31
2.49 (5.21%)
▲
5d:
+6.84%
30d:
+8.05%
90d:
+1.76%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMAL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMAL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.29
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMAL is currently trading at $50.31, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.63 to $48.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (9.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMAL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $50.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMAL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $50.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$46.63 -
$48.09
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($55.33)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 4.9% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.63 -
$48.09
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.16
Resistance Level
$50.77
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.84
Wall Street Target
$55.33
(+10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.9%
Profit Margin
34.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 9.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.78
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$55.36
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$58.07
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$50.35
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.9%)
$139.61
(+178%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 14.9%)
$76.22
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 14.9%)
$64.79
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.75
Bull Case
$65.09
(+29%)
Analyst growth 23.7%, PE expands to 14.0
Base Case
$59.17
(+18%)
Market implied 23.7%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$32.52
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 6:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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