ASC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASC - ARDMORE SHIPPING CORPORATION
$17.08
0.70 (4.27%)
▲
5d:
+3.89%
30d:
-8.91%
90d:
+25.22%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.25
Based on -34.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASC is currently trading at $17.08, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.46 to $19.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.0) is in line with its historical norms (20.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 316.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.15 (+18.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.15 (+18.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$16.46 -
$19.11
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($20.15)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.46 -
$19.11
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.81
Resistance Level
$17.14
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.98
Wall Street Target
$20.15
(+18.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
316.4%
Profit Margin
18.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.0 vs 20.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.84
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$16.61
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$16.37
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→21)
$17.05
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: -73.4%)
$13.66
(+-20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.0, Growth: -73.4%)
$12.45
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.0, Growth: -73.4%)
$10.58
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.32
Bull Case
$11.67
(-32%)
Analyst growth -35.2%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$10.61
(-38%)
Market implied -35.2%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$11.14
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.0 to 20.8
Stabilization Target:
$17.78
(+4.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 14, 2026 4:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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