ARDMORE SHIPPING (ASC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASC - ARDMORE SHIPPING CORPORATION
$19.66
0.32 (1.66%)
▲
5d:
+3.87%
30d:
+10.27%
90d:
+19.96%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.92
Based on -8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.69
9.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASC is currently trading at $19.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.27 to $19.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.8) compared to its historical average (20.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 30.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 572.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.00, while resistance sits at $20.60.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.50 (+16.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.00, while resistance sits at $20.60.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.50 (+16.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.27 -
$19.53
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($22.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.27 -
$19.53
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.00
Resistance Level
$20.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.81
Wall Street Target
$22.50
(+16.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
61.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
572.7%
Profit Margin
29.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-30.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.8 vs 20.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-30.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.41
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.67
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$14.10
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→20)
$41.61
(+115%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -21.8%)
$41.12
(+113%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: -21.8%)
$14.10
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: -21.8%)
$11.98
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.67
Bull Case
$22.96
(+19%)
Analyst growth 6.4%, PE expands to 8.1
Base Case
$20.87
(+8%)
Market implied 6.4%, PE stable at 7.4
Bear Case
$13.34
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.8 to 20.1
Stabilization Target:
$57.08
(+195.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+195.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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