ARDMORE SHIPPING (ASC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASC - ARDMORE SHIPPING CORPORATION
$18.67
0.21 (1.14%)
▲
5d:
+3.61%
30d:
+12.0%
90d:
+13.98%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.30
Based on -33.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASC is currently trading at $18.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.95 to $18.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.8) compared to its historical average (20.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $18.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ASC scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $18.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ASC scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.95 -
$18.34
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.95 -
$18.34
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.61
Resistance Level
$18.92
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.77
Wall Street Target
$20.50
(+9.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
61.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
572.7%
Profit Margin
29.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.7% premium
PE vs Historical
22.8 vs 20.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.36
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$20.08
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$20.82
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.65
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.8, Growth: -71.8%)
$13.61
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: -71.8%)
$12.06
(-35%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -71.8%)
$10.25
(-45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.57
Bull Case
$10.15
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 7.9
Base Case
$9.23
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 7.2
Bear Case
$12.55
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 3:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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