ARDMORE SHIPPING (ASC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASC - ARDMORE SHIPPING CORPORATION
$19.30
0.05 (0.26%)
▲
5d:
+8.12%
30d:
+6.81%
90d:
+26.81%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.31
Based on -33.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASC is currently trading at $19.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.64 to $18.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.5) compared to its historical average (20.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$17.64 -
$18.84
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.64 -
$18.84
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.20
Resistance Level
$19.31
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.54
Wall Street Target
$20.50
(+6.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
61.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
572.7%
Profit Margin
29.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
23.5 vs 20.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.19
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$21.12
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$22.09
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.33
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.5, Growth: -71.8%)
$14.07
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: -71.8%)
$12.19
(-37%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: -71.8%)
$10.37
(-46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.65
Bull Case
$10.59
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 8.0
Base Case
$9.63
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 7.3
Bear Case
$13.09
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 8:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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