ARDMORE SHIPPING (ASC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASC - ARDMORE SHIPPING CORPORATION
$18.48
-0.34 (-1.81%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.96%
30d:
+2.72%
90d:
+20.63%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ASC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ASC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.31
Based on -33.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASC is currently trading at $18.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.88 to $18.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.5) is in line with its historical norms (20.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.38, while resistance sits at $19.90.
Market Sentiment: ASC scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.50 (+10.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.38, while resistance sits at $19.90.
Market Sentiment: ASC scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.50 (+10.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$17.88 -
$18.97
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($20.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.88 -
$18.97
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.38
Resistance Level
$19.90
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.54
Wall Street Target
$20.50
(+10.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
61.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
572.7%
Profit Margin
29.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
22.5 vs 20.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.03
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$19.61
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$20.19
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23â21)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.46
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.5, Growth: -71.8%)
$13.47
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: -71.8%)
$11.78
(-36%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: -71.8%)
$10.01
(-46%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.57
Bull Case
$10.35
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 8.1
Base Case
$9.41
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 7.3
Bear Case
$12.80
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 08, 2026 2:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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