ASC
ARDMORE SHIPPING CORPORATION
Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight
ARDMORE SHIPPING (ASC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$18.88
+0.52 (+2.83%)
▲
5d:
+10.47%
30d:
-4.02%
90d:
+7.21%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$18.36 – $20.33
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
5.4x
CHEAP
vs 19.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$24.00
+30.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$16.54 / $21.28
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: ASC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.49
Based on -4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.35
39.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASC is currently trading at $18.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.36 to $20.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.4) compared to its historical average (19.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 34.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 34.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.54, while resistance sits at $21.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+30.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.54, while resistance sits at $21.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+30.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$18.36 -
$20.33
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$18.36 -
$20.33
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$16.54
Resistance Level
$21.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.7% below Wall St target ($24.00)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.42
Wall Street Target
$24.00
(+30.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.1%
Profit Margin
30.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-34.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.4 vs 19.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-34.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.52
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$14.87
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$13.38
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→19)
$47.45
(+158%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -13.5%)
$49.08
(+167%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.4, Growth: -13.5%)
$13.38
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.6, Growth: -13.5%)
$11.38
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.67
Bull Case
$25.00
(+36%)
Analyst growth 27.0%, PE expands to 7.4
Base Case
$22.73
(+24%)
Market implied 27.0%, PE stable at 6.7
Bear Case
$12.17
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.4 to 19.2
Stabilization Target:
$65.09
(+254.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+254.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ASC)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Ardmore Shipping Corporation reported third-quarter net income of $16.3 million and revenue of $87.7 million, with shares up 85% year-to-date.
Key Retail Themes:
financial results
earnings report
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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